ArticlePLoS biology2019
The role of selection and evolution in changing parturition date in a red deer population.
Article in PLoS biology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.
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Who cites it
34 citing papers in PubMed.
- Gene flow drives periods of both evolutionary stasis and change in a wild bird population.PLoS biology · 2026Article
- Lifetime fitness and annual survival are heritable and highly genetically correlated in a wild primate population.Evolution; international journal of organic evolution · 2026Article
- Comparing the genomic inbreeding of an isolated rhesus macaque study population to wild populations.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Satellite-Derived NDVI Predicts Forage Availability in a Wild Ungulate System: Ground-Truthing Using Field-Collected Vegetation Biomass.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Phenological shifts in mating and lambing timing in response to climate change in Urial wild sheep (Ovis vignei) populations in Iran.PloS one · 2026Article
- Parturition Synchrony Index: A Method for Assessing Individual Parturition Synchrony Within a Group or Population.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Lifetime fitness and annual survival are heritable and highly genetically correlated in a wild primate population.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025Article
- Phenological Plasticity and Its Temperature-Related Drivers in Common Songbirds Across Europe.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Caspian Red Deer Population Dynamics Under Changing Climate Conditions in Central Alborz: Two Decades of Conservation En Route to Restoration.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Using Fitness Surfaces to Better Link Conservation Breeding Programmes With Wild Population Recovery.Molecular ecology · 2025Review
- Climate change impacts on altitudinal movements of society large mammals in the Alborz.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Review
- Season-specific genetic variation underlies early-life migration in a partially migratory bird.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Microevolutionary change in wild stickleback: Using integrative time-series data to infer responses to selection.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- The value of long-term ecological research for evolutionary insights.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024Review
- Weak coupling between energetic status and the timing of reproduction in an Arctic ungulate.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Micro-evolutionary response of spring migration timing in a wild seabird.Evolution letters · 2024Article
- Evolutionary adaptation to climate change.Evolution letters · 2024Article
- When and how can we predict adaptive responses to climate change?Evolution letters · 2024Article
- Reproductive tactics, birth timing and the risk-resource trade-off in an income breeder.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Changing environmental conditions cause changes in the distributions of phenotypic traits in natural populations. However, determining the mechanisms responsible for these changes-and, in particular, the relative contributions of phenotypic plasticity versus evolutionary responses-is difficult. To our knowledge, no study has yet reported evidence that evolutionary change underlies the most widely reported phenotypic response to climate change: the advancement of breeding times. In a wild population of red deer, average parturition date has advanced by nearly 2 weeks in 4 decades. Here, we quantify the contribution of plastic, demographic, and genetic components to this change. In particular, we quantify the role of direct phenotypic plasticity in response to increasing temperatures and the role of changes in the population structure. Importantly, we show that adaptive evolution likely played a role in the shift towards earlier parturition dates. The observed rate of evolution was consistent with a response to selection and was less likely to be due to genetic drift. Our study provides a rare example of observed rates of genetic change being consistent with theoretical predictions, although the consistency would not have been detected with a solely phenotypic analysis. It also provides, to our knowledge, the first evidence of both evolution and phenotypic plasticity contributing to advances in phenology in a changing climate.
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