Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31687068›Full record

ArticleJournal of atrial fibrillation2019

Warfarin Use and Mortality, Stroke, and Bleeding Outcomes in a Cohort of Elderly Patients with non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation.

Bradshaw Pamela J, Hung Joseph, Knuiman Matthew, Briffa Thomas G, Nedkoff Lee, Katzenellebogen Judith M, Rankin Jamie M, Sanfilippo Frank M

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of atrial fibrillation, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Bradshaw Pamela JSchool of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia.
Hung JosephSchool of Medicine, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital Unit, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia.
Knuiman MatthewSchool of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia.
Briffa Thomas GSchool of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia.
Nedkoff LeeSchool of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia.
Katzenellebogen Judith MSchool of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia.
Rankin Jamie MCardiology Department, Fiona Stanley Hospital, Murdoch, Western Australia.
Sanfilippo Frank MSchool of Population and Global Health, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo determine exposure to warfarin and the associated outcomes in a population of older patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).

methodsCohort study of patients aged 65-89 years admitted to hospital July 2003-December 2008 with newly-diagnosed or pre-existing AF. Outcomes at three years among one-year survivors post-index admission (landmark date) were all-cause mortality, stroke/systemic thromboembolism (stroke/TE) and bleeding. Multivariate Cox models were used to identify factors associated with each outcome.

resultsAF was the principal diagnosis for 27.5% of 17,336 index AF admissions. Of 14,634 (84.4%) patients alive at one-year 1,384 (9.5%) died in the following year. Vascular disease (42%) was the most frequent cause of death.Warfarin use, prior to the index admission and/or the 1-year landmark, did not exceed 40%.Compared to non-exposure or discontinuation at the index admission, initiation or persistence with warfarin prior to the landmark date was associated with reduced risk for all-cause mortality, a statistically non-significant reduction in risk for stroke/TE, and an increased risk for bleeding. Higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores were associated with increased risk for each outcome.

conclusionsIn a population-based cohort of hospitalised NVAF patients, the initiation and persistent use of warfarin was associated with lower all-cause mortality risk to three years, although reduction in risk for stroke/TE did not reach statistical significance. The apparent under-use of warfarin in this older, high-risk cohort reinforces the opportunity for further reduction in stroke/TE with the uptake of non-vitamin K oral anti-coagulants (NOACs) among those not prescribed, or not persistent with, warfarin.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationClinical OutcomesLandmark AnalysisLinked DataPopulation StudyWarfarin

Identifiers

PMID31687068
PMCPMC6811337

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