ArticleFrontiers in psychology2019
The Human Cost of Anthropogenic Global Warming: Semi-Quantitative Prediction and the 1,000-Tonne Rule.
Article in Frontiers in psychology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Viewpoint: Optimising Cancer Treatment to Reduce Its Environmental Impact.Journal of medical imaging and radiation oncology · 2026Article
- Establishing and Defining an Approach to Climate Conscious Clinical Medical Ethics.The American journal of bioethics : AJOB · 2025Article
- Assessing Socioeconomic Risks of Climate Change on Tenant Farmers in Pakistan.Frontiers in psychology · 2022Article
- The Multi-hub Academic Conference: Global, Inclusive, Culturally Diverse, Creative, Sustainable.Frontiers in research metrics and analytics · 2021Article
- SARS-Cov-2 and environmental protection: A collective psychology agenda for environmental psychology research.Journal of environmental psychology · 2020Article
- Catastrophic Health Impacts of Spiraling Climate Change: How Certain Can We Be About Their Magnitudes?Frontiers in public health · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Greenhouse-gas emissions are indirectly causing future deaths by multiple mechanisms. For example, reduced food and water supplies will exacerbate hunger, disease, violence, and migration. How will anthropogenic global warming (AGW) affect global mortality due to poverty around and beyond 2100? Roughly, how much burned fossil carbon corresponds to one future death? What are the psychological, medical, political, and economic implications? Predicted death tolls are crucial for policy formulation, but uncertainty increases with temporal distance from the present and estimates may be biased. Order-of-magnitude estimates should refer to literature from diverse relevant disciplines. The carbon budget for 2°C AGW (roughly 10
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.