Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31679497›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2019

Using historical and palaeoecological data to inform ambitious species recovery targets.

Molly Grace, H Resit Akçakaya, Elizabeth Bennett, Craig Hilton-Taylor, Barney Long, E J Milner-Gulland, Richard Young, Michael Hoffmann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Joining forces toward proactive elephant and rhinoceros conservation.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. A global indicator of species recovery.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  4. New Perspectives on European Wildcat (Ecology and evolution · 2025
    Article
  5. The effect of habitat loss and fragmentation on isolation by distance and divergence.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Threatened North African seagrass meadows have supported green turtle populations for millennia.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Unshifting the baseline: a framework for documenting historical population changes and assessing long-term anthropogenic impacts.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
  16. Insights from the past: unique opportunity or foreign country?Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Molly GraceDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK.
H Resit AkçakayaDepartment of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA.
Elizabeth BennettWildlife Conservation Society, 2300 Southern Boulevard, Bronx, NY 10460, USA.
Craig Hilton-TaylorIUCN Red List Unit, Pembroke Street, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, UK.
Barney LongGlobal Wildlife Conservation, 500 North Capital of Texas Highway, Austin, TX 78746, USA.
E J Milner-GullandDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK.
Richard YoungDurrell Wildlife Conservation Trust, Les Augrès Manor, Trinity, Jersey JE3 5BP, Channel Islands.
Michael HoffmannConservation Programmes, Zoological Society of London, Regent's Park, London NW1 4RY, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Historical data are a valuable resource for addressing present-day conservation issues, for example by informing the establishment of appropriate recovery targets. However, while the recovery of threatened species is the end goal of many conservation programmes, data made available through the efforts of palaeoecologists and historical ecologists are rarely consulted. The proposal of a 'Green List of Species' by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) will soon change this. The Green List of Species measures recovery against historical baselines; in particular, the method requires estimates of species range and abundance in previous centuries. In this paper, we present the case for why setting species recovery against a historical baseline is necessary to produce ambitious conservation targets, and we highlight examples from palaeoecology and historical ecology where fossil and archival data have been used to establish historical species baselines. Finally, we introduce Conservation Archive (https://conservationarchive.shinyapps.io/ConservationArchive/), a database of resources that can be used to infer baseline species conditions, and invite contributions to this database. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'The past is a foreign country: how much can the fossil record actually inform conservation?'

Indexed as

BiodiversityDatabases as TopicEndangered SpeciesAnimal DistributionConservation of Natural ResourcesData CollectionPlant DispersalbaselineconservationIUCN Green List of Speciesspecies decline

Identifiers

PMID31679497
PMCPMC6863500

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.