Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31673345›Full record

ArticleJournal of global health2019

Drivers of the reduction in childhood diarrhea mortality 1980-2015 and interventions to eliminate preventable diarrhea deaths by 2030.

Robert Black, Olivier Fontaine, Laura Lamberti, Maharaj Bhan, Luis Huicho, Shams El Arifeen, Honorati Masanja, Christa Fischer Walker, Tigest Ketsela Mengestu, Luwei Pearson and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of global health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 72 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
72citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

72 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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12 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Robert BlackJohns Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of International Health, Institute for International Programs, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Olivier FontaineWorld Health Organization, Department of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health Child and Adolescent Health and Development, Geneva, Switzerland.
Laura LambertiBill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Enteric Diarrheal Diseases, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Maharaj BhanIndian Institute of Technology, New Delhi, India.
Luis HuichoCentro de Investigación en Salud Materna e Infantil, Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo Integral y Sostenible and School of Medicine, Lima, Peru.
Shams El ArifeenInternational Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Honorati MasanjaIfakara Health Institute, Ifakara, Tanzania.
Christa Fischer WalkerUS Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Maternal and Child Health, Windhoek, Namibia.
Tigest Ketsela MengestuWorld Health Organization, Mbabane, Swaziland.
Luwei PearsonUnited Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), New York, New York, USA.
Mark YoungUnited Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), New York, New York, USA.
Nosa OrobatonBill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Maternal, Newborn and Child Health, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Yue ChuJohns Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of International Health, Institute for International Programs, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Bianca JacksonJohns Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of International Health, Institute for International Programs, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Massee BatemanUS Agency for International Development (USAID), Jakarta, Indonesia.
Neff WalkerJohns Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of International Health, Institute for International Programs, Baltimore, Maryland, USA (deceased).
Michael MersonDuke University, Duke Global Health Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChildhood diarrhea deaths have declined more than 80% from 1980 to 2015, in spite of an increase in the number of children in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC). Possible drivers of this remarkable accomplishment can guide the further reduction of the half million annual child deaths from diarrhea that still occur.

methodsWe used the Lives Saved Tool, which models effects on mortality due to changes in coverage of preventive or therapeutic interventions or risk factors, for 50 LMIC to determine the proximal drivers of the diarrhea mortality reduction.

resultsDiarrhea treatment (oral rehydration solution [ORS], zinc, antibiotics for dysentery and management of persistent diarrhea) and use of rotavirus vaccine accounted for 49.7% of the diarrhea mortality reduction from 1980 to 2015. Improvements in nutrition (stunting, wasting, breastfeeding practices, vitamin A) accounted for 38.8% and improvements in water, sanitation and handwashing for 11.5%. The contribution of ORS was greater from 1980 to 2000 (58.0% of the reduction) than from 2000 to 2015 (30.7%); coverage of ORS increased from zero in 1980 to 29.5% in 2000 and more slowly to 44.1% by 2015. To eliminate the remaining childhood diarrhea deaths globally, all these interventions will be needed. Scaling up diarrhea treatment and rotavirus vaccine, to 90% coverage could reduce global child diarrhea mortality by 74.1% from 2015 levels by 2030. Adding improved nutrition could increase that to 89.1%. Finally, adding increased use of improved water sources, sanitation and handwashing could result in a 92.8% reduction from the 2015 level.

conclusionsEmploying the interventions that have resulted in such a large reduction in diarrhea mortality in the last 35 years can virtually eliminate remaining childhood diarrhea deaths by 2030.

Indexed as

Child MortalityChild, PreschoolDeveloping CountriesDiarrheaHumansInfantInfant MortalityInfant, Newborn

Identifiers

PMID31673345
PMCPMC6815873

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.