Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31663914›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons2020

A Novel Machine Learning Model Developed to Assist in Patient Selection for Outpatient Total Shoulder Arthroplasty.

Dustin R Biron, Ishan Sinha, Justin E Kleiner, Dilum P Aluthge, Avi D Goodman, I Neil Sarkar, Eric Cohen, Alan H Daniels

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 88 citations in OpenAlex.

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  20. Initial clinical experience with a predictive clinical decision support tool for anatomic and reverse total shoulder arthroplasty.European journal of orthopaedic surgery & traumatology : orthopedie traumatologie · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Dustin R BironFrom the Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University (Biron, Sinha, Dr. Kleiner, and Aluthge), Center for Biomedical Informatics (Biron, Sinha, Aluthge, and Dr. Sarkar), Brown University, and Department of Orthopaedic Surgery (Dr. Goodman, Dr. Cohen, and Dr. Daniels), The Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Rhode Island Hospital, Providence, RI.
Ishan Sinha
Justin E Kleiner
Dilum P Aluthge
Avi D Goodman
I Neil Sarkar
Eric Cohen
Alan H Daniels
Spineart (Switzerland) · CHOrthofix (United States) · USStryker (United States) · USSpringer Nature (Germany) · DE

Funding

Tracking and Evaluation CoreU54GM115677 · NIGMS · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI ROUNDS, SHARON IRENE SMITH · 2016 to 2025
$45.0M
In silico identification of phyto-therapiesR01LM011963 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI LAW, WAYNE, SARKAR, INDRA N · 2014 to 2016
$1.2M
Training and Teaching for Transforming Big Data to KnowledgeR25MH116440 · NIMH · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI HOGAN, JOSEPH W, ISTRAIL, SORIN C. · 2017 to 2019
$320k
NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM115677NIMH NIH HHS R25 MH116440NLM NIH HHS R01 LM011963
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPatient selection for outpatient total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA) is important to optimizing patient outcomes. This study aims to develop a machine learning tool that may aid in patient selection for outpatient total should arthroplasty based on medical comorbidities and demographic factors.

methodsPatients undergoing elective TSA from 2011 to 2016 in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program were queried. A random forest machine learning model was used to predict which patients had a length of stay of 1 day or less (short stay). A multivariable logistic regression was then used to identify which variables were significantly correlated with a short or long stay.

resultsFrom 2011 to 2016, 4,500 patients were identified as having undergone elective TSA and having the necessary predictive features and outcomes recorded. The machine learning model was able to successfully identify short stay patients, producing an area under the receiver operator curve of 0.77. The multivariate logistic regression identified numerous variables associated with a short stay including age less than 70 years and male sex as well as variables associated with a longer stay including diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and American Society of Anesthesiologists class greater than 2.

conclusionsMachine learning may be used to predict which patients are suitable candidates for short stay or outpatient TSA based on their medical comorbidities and demographic profile.

Indexed as

Arthroplasty, Replacement, ShoulderDecision Support TechniquesLength of StayMachine LearningOutpatientsPatient SelectionAgedAge FactorsComorbidityFemaleForecastingHumansLogistic ModelsMalePulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID31663914
PMCPMC7180108
OpenAlexW2982461631

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.