Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31660536›Full record

ArticleVaccine: X2019

Effectiveness of influenza vaccine against influenza A in Europe in seasons of different A(H1N1)pdm09 and the same A(H3N2) vaccine components (2016-17 and 2017-18).

Esther Kissling, Francisco Pozo, Silke Buda, Ana-Maria Vilcu, Caterina Rizzo, Alin Gherasim, Judit Krisztina Horváth, Mia Brytting, Lisa Domegan, Adam Meijer and 20 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Vaccine: X, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Influenza vaccine effectiveness from nine studies during drifted A(H3N2) subclade K predominance, Europe, September 2025 to January 2026.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness in Australia During 2017-2019.Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2025
    Article
  8. Influenza vaccine effectiveness in Europe and the birth cohort effect against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09: VEBIS primary care multicentre study, 2023/24.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Article
  9. Molecular Evolution of Influenza A Viruses From Mauritius, 2017-2019.Influenza and other respiratory viruses · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. BMJ case reports · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors.

Esther KisslingEpidemiology Department, Epiconcept, 47 rue de Charenton, 75012 Paris, France.
Francisco PozoNational Centre for Microbiology, National Influenza Reference Laboratory, WHO-National Influenza Centre, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Silke BudaRobert Koch Institute, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Respiratory Infections Unit, Seestrasse 10, 13353 Berlin, Germany.
Ana-Maria VilcuSorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d'épidémiologie et de Santé Publique (IPLESP UMRS 1136), F-75012, Paris, France.
Caterina RizzoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy.
Alin GherasimNational Epidemiology Centre, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Judit Krisztina HorváthOffice of the Chief Medical Officer, Budapest, Hungary.
Mia BryttingPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Stockholm, Sweden.
Lisa DomeganHealth Service Executive-Health Protection Surveillance Centre, 25-27 Middle Gardiner Street, Dublin 1 D01 A4A3, Ireland.
Adam MeijerNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Iwona Paradowska-StankiewiczNational Institute of Public Health-National Institute of Hygiene, Warsaw, Poland.
Ausenda MachadoDepartamento de Epidemiologia, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal.
Vesna Višekruna VučinaCroatian Institute of Public Health, Zagreb, Croatia.
Mihaela Lazar"Cantacuzino" National Medico-Military Institute for Research and Development, Bucharest, Romania.
Kari JohansenEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Gustav III:s boulevard 40, 169 73 Solna, Sweden.
Ralf DürrwaldRobert Koch Institute, National Reference Center for Influenza, Seestrasse 10, 13353 Berlin, Germany.
Sylvie van der WerfUnité de Génétique Moléculaire des Virus à ARN, Institut Pasteur, CNRS UMR3569, Université Paris Diderot SPC, France.
Antonino BellaDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy.
Amparo LarrauriNational Epidemiology Centre, Institute of Health Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Annamária FerencziOffice of the Chief Medical Officer, Budapest, Hungary.
Katherina ZakikhanyPublic Health Agency of Sweden, Stockholm, Sweden.
Joan O'DonnellHealth Service Executive-Health Protection Surveillance Centre, 25-27 Middle Gardiner Street, Dublin 1 D01 A4A3, Ireland.
Frederika DijkstraNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Joanna BoguszNational Institute of Public Health-National Institute of Hygiene, Warsaw, Poland.
Raquel GuiomarDepartamento de Doenças Infeciosas, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Portugal.
Sanja Kurečić FilipovićCroatian Institute of Public Health, Zagreb, Croatia.
Daniela PitigoiCarol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania.
Pasi PenttinenEuropean Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), Gustav III:s boulevard 40, 169 73 Solna, Sweden.
Marta ValencianoEpidemiology Department, Epiconcept, 47 rue de Charenton, 75012 Paris, France.
I-MOVE/I-MOVE+ study team

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionInfluenza A(H3N2) viruses predominated in Europe in 2016-17. In 2017-18 A(H3N2) and A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses co-circulated. The A(H3N2) vaccine component was the same in both seasons; while the A(H1N1)pdm09 component changed in 2017-18. In both seasons, vaccine seed A(H3N2) viruses developed adaptations/alterations during propagation in eggs, impacting antigenicity.

methodsWe used the test-negative design in a multicentre primary care case-control study in 12 European countries to measure 2016-17 and 2017-18 influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against laboratory-confirmed influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) overall and by age group.

resultsDuring the 2017-18 season, the overall VE against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was 59% (95% CI: 47-69). Among those aged 0-14, 15-64 and ≥65 years, VE against A(H1N1)pdm09 was 64% (95% CI: 37-79), 50% (95% CI: 28-66) and 66% (95% CI: 42-80), respectively. Overall VE against influenza A(H3N2) was 28% (95% CI: 17-38) in 2016-17 and 13% (95% CI: -15 to 34) in 2017-18. Among 0-14-year-olds VE against A(H3N2) was 28% (95%CI: -10 to 53) and 29% (95% CI: -87 to 73), among 15-64-year-olds 34% (95% CI: 18-46) and 33% (95% CI: -3 to 56) and among those aged ≥65 years 15% (95% CI: -10 to 34) and -9% (95% CI: -74 to 32) in 2016-17 and 2017-18, respectively.

conclusionsOur study suggests the new A(H1N1)pdm09 vaccine component conferred good protection against circulating strains, while VE against A(H3N2) was <35% in 2016-17 and 2017-18. The egg propagation derived antigenic mismatch of the vaccine seed virus with circulating strains may have contributed to this low effectiveness. A(H3N2) seed viruses for vaccines in subsequent seasons may be subject to the same adaptations; in years with lower than expected VE, recommendations of preventive measures other than vaccination should be given in a timely manner.

Indexed as

Case-control studyEuropeInfluenzaInfluenza vaccineMulticentre studyVaccine effectiveness

Identifiers

PMID31660536
PMCPMC6807025

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.