ArticleInternational journal of biometeorology2020
Investigating climate suitability conditions for malaria transmission and impacts of climate variability on mosquito survival in the humid tropical region: a case study of Obafemi Awolowo University Campus, Ile-Ife, south-western Nigeria.
Article in International journal of biometeorology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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7 citing papers in PubMed.
- A six years trend analysis of malaria prevalence in Central Ethiopia Region.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Using data science to identify climate change and health adverse impacts and solutions in Africa: a scoping review.npj health systems · 2026Article
- Subnational malaria burden in Sindh, Pakistan: over a decade of evidence for tailored strategies.Malaria journal · 2025Article
- Climate and human health: a review of publication trends in the International Journal of Biometeorology.International journal of biometeorology · 2023Review
- Vector role and human biting activity of Anophelinae mosquitoes in different landscapes in the Brazilian Amazon.Parasites & vectors · 2021Article
- Spatial Modelling of Malaria in South of Iran in Line with the Implementation of the Malaria Elimination Program: A Bayesian Poisson-Gamma Random Field Model.Journal of arthropod-borne diseases · 2021Article
- Perspectives on biometeorological research on the African continent.International journal of biometeorology · 2021Review
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Abstract
This study investigated impacts of climate variability on mosquito survival at Obafemi Awolowo University Campus, Ile-Ife, south-western Nigeria, and determined the regional climate suitability level for malaria transmission between 1996 and 2015. It employed some established climate-dependent models to simulate daily mosquito survival probabilities, p and a fuzzy logic suitability (FLS) model to determine the suitability conditions for malaria transmission across seasons. Multivariate regression analysis and lag correlation up to 4 months were performed to examine contributions of climate variation to the reported malaria cases. Results revealed that mosquitoes could survive all-year round with p values ranging between 0.40 and 0.96 under the prevailing mean climate. However, the climate suitability level for transmission of malaria was 'moderate' (0.45 < p ≤ 0.60) in the dry season but 'very high' (0.75 < p ≤ 0.96) in the wet. Rainfall was found to be the best predictor (r = 0.7, R
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