Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31647124›Full record

Trial reportJournal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines2020

Trajectories of depression symptom change during and following treatment in adolescents with unipolar major depression.

Sian Emma Davies, Sharon A S Neufeld, Eleonore van Sprang, Lizanne Schweren, Rogier Keivit, Peter Fonagy, Bernadka Dubicka, Raphael Kelvin, Nick Midgley, Shirley Reynolds and 4 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
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  4. Trial
  5. Trajectories of parent criticism across treatment for youth self-harm.Journal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines · 2025
    Trial
  6. Conflicted Anger as a Central Dynamic in Depression in Adolescents-A Double Case Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Trial
  7. Article
  8. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Sian Emma DaviesDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Sharon A S NeufeldDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Eleonore van SprangDepartment of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, VUmc, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Lizanne SchwerenDepartment of Psychiatry, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Rogier KeivitMRC Cognition and Brain Sciences Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Peter FonagyResearch Department of Clinical, Educational and Health Psychology, Division of Psychology and Language Sciences, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0229-0091
Bernadka DubickaDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Raphael KelvinDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Nick MidgleyResearch Department of Clinical, Educational and Health Psychology, Division of Psychology and Language Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Shirley ReynoldsSchool of Psychology and Clinical Language Sciences, University of Reading, Reading, UK.
Mary TargetResearch Department of Clinical, Educational and Health Psychology, Division of Psychology and Language Sciences, University College London, London, UK.
Paul WilkinsonDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Anne Laura van HarmelenDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Ian Michael GoodyerDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9183-0373

Funding

Department of Health 06/05/01Medical Research Council SUAG/04/ G101400MRF_ MRF-160-0007-ELP-VANHAWellcome TrustWellcome Trust 095844/Z/11/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo classify a cohort of depressed adolescents recruited to the UK IMPACT trial, according to trajectories of symptom change. We examined for predictors and compared the data-driven categories of patients with a priori operational definitions of treatment response.

methodSecondary data analysis using growth mixture modelling (GMM). Missing data were imputed. Trajectories of self-reported depressive symptoms were plotted using scores taken at six nominal time points over 86 weeks from randomisation in all 465 patients.

resultsA piecewise GMM categorised patients into two classes with initially similar and subsequently distinct trajectories. Both groups had a significant decline in depressive symptoms over the first 18 weeks. Eighty-four per cent (84.1%, n = 391) of patients were classed as 'continued-improvers' with symptoms reducing over the duration of the study. A further class of 15.9% (n = 74) of patients were termed 'halted-improvers' with higher baseline depression scores, faster early recovery but no further improvement after 18 weeks. Presence of baseline comorbidity somewhat increased membership to the halted-improvers class (OR = 1.40, CI: 1.00-1.96). By end of study, compared with classes, a clinical remission cut-off score (≤27) and a symptom reduction score (≥50%) indexing treatment response misclassified 15% and 31% of cases, respectively.

conclusionsA fast reduction in depressive symptoms in the first few weeks of treatment may not indicate a good prognosis. Halted improvement is only seen after 18 weeks of treatment. Longitudinal modelling may improve the precision of revealing differential responses to treatment. Improvement in depressive symptoms may be somewhat better in the year after treatment than previously considered.

Indexed as

AdolescentComorbidityFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMajor Depressive DisorderMaleTreatment OutcomeDepressionlongitudinal studiesoutcometherapy

Identifiers

PMID31647124
PMCPMC7216986

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.