Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31641736›Full record

ArticleThe journal of nutrition, health & aging2019

Physical Frailty and Risk of Needing Long-Term Care in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: a 6-Year Prospective Study in Japan.

S Chen, T Honda, K Narazaki, T Chen, H Kishimoto, S Kumagai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of nutrition, health & aging, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. The association of frailty with health care costs using the FRAIL scale.Aging clinical and experimental research · 2026
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  6. Review
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  18. Risk Factors of Long-Term Care Insurance Certification in Japan: A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Association between Physical Frailty Subdomains and Oral Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

S ChenDr. Shuzo Kumagai, Center for Health Science and Counseling, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka Nishi-ku, Fukuoka, Fukuoka Prefecture 819-0315, Japan, Telephone number: +81 92-802-5112, Fax number: +81 922-802-5112, E-mail: shuzo@ihs.kyushu-u.ac.jp.
T Honda
K Narazaki
T Chen
H Kishimoto
S Kumagai

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo examine the association between physical frailty and risk of needing long-term care, and compare the predictive value and clinical usefulness of a simple frailty scale (FRAIL) with that of the original Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) criteria. DESIGN AND

settingA 6-year prospective cohort study of community-dwelling older adults in a west Japanese suburban town.

participants1,554 older adults aged 65 years and over who were initially free of long-term care needs at baseline. MEASUREMENTS: Physical frailty was defined by the CHS criteria and the FRAIL scale. The onset of needing long-term care was ascertained using national records of certification of long-term care needs. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the association between physical frailty and risk of needing long-term care. Decision curve analysis was performed to compare the clinical usefulness of the two physical frailty criteria.

resultsDuring a median follow-up of 5.8 years, 244 were ascertained as needing long-term care. Baseline physical frailty was significantly associated with elevated risk of needing long-term care, with a multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.00 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.32-3.02) for being frail and 1.50 (95% CI, 1.10-2.03) for being pre-frail as defined by the CHS criteria, compared with being robust (p for trend = 0.001). Similar results were found for physical frailty defined by the FRAIL scale, with a multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CIs) of 2.11 (1.25-3.56) for being frail and 1.73 (1.28-2.35) for being pre-frail vs. being robust (p for trend < 0.001). The two physical frailty criteria had similar net benefits in identifying individuals at high risk for needing long-term care.

conclusionsPhysical frailty is significantly associated with an increased risk of needing long-term care in community-dwelling older adults in Japan. Compared with the original CHS criteria, the simple FRAIL scale has comparable predictive value and clinical usefulness for identifying individuals at risk for needing long-term care.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFrail ElderlyFrailtyGeriatric AssessmentHumansIndependent LivingJapanLong-Term CareMaleProportional Hazards ModelsProspective Studieselderlylong-term care needsPhysical frailtyprospective study

Identifiers

PMID31641736
PMCPMC12280612

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.