ArticleNature communications2019
Predicted climate shifts within terrestrial protected areas worldwide.
Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed.
- Persistence Vulnerability of the African Savanna ElephantEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Ensemble Modeling Reveals Severe Contraction of Dhole's (Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- China's "greening but weakening" protected areas reveal a global conservation quality-quantity dilemma.Science China. Life sciences · 2026Article
- Practitioner perceptions of biodiversity criteria for solar suitability analyses in the United States.npj biodiversity · 2026Article
- Resilient Biodiversity Conservation: Working with Social-Ecological Connections to Navigate Crises.Bioscience · 2026Review
- Assessing protected areas as climate refugia for threatened plant species in Britain.PloS one · 2026Article
- Identifying global marine climate refugia through a conservative approach to ocean biodiversity preservation.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Climate change impacts onPlant diversity · 2025Article
- The Accelerating Exposure of European Protected Areas to Climate Change.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Reassessment of the risks of climate change for terrestrial ecosystems.Nature ecology & evolution · 2024Article
- The performance of protected-area expansions in representing tropical Andean species: past trends and climate change prospects.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Preserving the woody plant tree of life in China under future climate and land-cover changes.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2022Article
- Half-millennium evidence suggests that extinction debts of global vertebrates started in the Second Industrial Revolution.Communications biology · 2022Article
- Evaluation of the Carbon Sink Capacity of the Proposed Kunlun Mountain National Park.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- A global record of annual terrestrial Human Footprint dataset from 2000 to 2018.Scientific data · 2022Article
- Wilderness areas in a changing landscape: changes in land use, land cover, and climate.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2022Article
- Article
- Five Steps to Inject Transformative Change into the Post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework.Bioscience · 2021Article
- Linking Taxonomic, Phylogenetic and Functional Plant Diversity with Ecosystem Services of Cliffs and Screes in Greece.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- How to Protect Natural Habitats of Rare Terrestrial Orchids Effectively: A Comparative Case Study ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Protected areas (PA) are refugia of biodiversity. However, anthropogenic climate change induces a redistribution of life on Earth that affects the effectiveness of PAs. When species are forced to migrate from protected to unprotected areas to track suitable climate, they often face degraded habitats in human-dominated landscapes and a higher extinction threat. Here, we assess how climate conditions are expected to shift within the world's terrestrial PAs (n = 137,432). PAs in the temperate and northern high-latitude biomes are predicted to obtain especially high area proportions of climate conditions that are novel within the PA network at the local, regional and global scale by the end of this century. These PAs are predominantly small, at low elevation, with low environmental heterogeneity, high human pressure, and low biotic uniqueness. Our results guide adaptation measures towards PAs that are strongly affected by climate change, and of low adaption capacity and high conservation value.
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