Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31630966›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of preventive medicine2019

Health Warnings on Sugar-Sweetened Beverages: Simulation of Impacts on Diet and Obesity Among U.S. Adults.

Anna H Grummon, Natalie R Smith, Shelley D Golden, Leah Frerichs, Lindsey Smith Taillie, Noel T Brewer

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of preventive medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
7.1field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Commercial Determinants of Latinx Health: A Scoping Review of Sugar-Sweetened Beverages in the USA.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Article
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  13. Simulated retail food environments: A literature review of systems science approaches to advance equity in access to healthy diets.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2025
    Review
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  18. Primordial prevention: Reducing consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages in racial/ethnic populations.American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Anna H GrummonDepartment of Health Behavior, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina; Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina. Electronic address: agrummon@unc.edu.
Natalie R SmithCarolina Population Center, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina; Department of Health Policy and Management, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Shelley D GoldenDepartment of Health Behavior, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina; Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Leah FrerichsDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Lindsey Smith TaillieCarolina Population Center, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina; Department of Nutrition, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Noel T BrewerDepartment of Health Behavior, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina; Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USUNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center

Funding

POPULATION STUDIEST32HD007168 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ELIZABETH A FRANKENBERG · 1985 to 2026
$13.8M
Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
From Biological to Social Processes: Interdisciplinary Training in Life Course ResearchT32HD091058 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT A HUMMER, Amanda L Thompson · 2017 to 2026
$4.3M
Identifying and Disentangling Social and Physical Environmental Effects on Physical Activity in Diverse Adolescent and Young Adult PopulationsK01HL138159 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI FRERICHS, LEAH M. · 2017 to 2021
$780k
NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL138159NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007168NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD091058
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionOverconsumption of sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) is a significant contributor to obesity. Policymakers have proposed requiring health warnings on SSBs to reduce SSB consumption. Randomized trials indicate that SSB warnings reduce SSB purchases, but uncertainty remains about how warnings affect population-level dietary and health outcomes.

methodsThis study developed a stochastic microsimulation model of dietary behaviors and body weight using the 2005-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys, research on SSB health warnings, and a validated model of weight change. In 2019, the model simulated a national SSB health warning policy's impact on SSB intake, total energy intake, BMI, and obesity among U.S. adults over 5 years. Sensitivity analyses varied assumptions about: (1) how warning efficacy changes over time, (2) the magnitude of warnings' impact on SSB intake, and (3) caloric compensation.

resultsA national SSB health warning policy would reduce average SSB intake by 25.3 calories/day (95% uncertainty interval [UI]= -27.0, -23.6) and total energy intake by 31.2 calories/day (95% UI= -32.2, -30.1). These dietary changes would reduce average BMI by 0.64 kg/m

conclusionsA national SSB health warning policy could reduce adults' SSB consumption and obesity prevalence. Warnings could also narrow sociodemographic disparities in these outcomes.

Indexed as

Consumer BehaviorPublic PolicyAdolescentAdultAgedBody WeightComputer SimulationEnergy IntakeFemaleFood LabelingFood PreferencesHealth Status DisparitiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, Theoretical

Identifiers

PMID31630966
PMCPMC6874759
OpenAlexW2980985205

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.