Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31621952›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2019

A utility-based Bayesian optimal interval (U-BOIN) phase I/II design to identify the optimal biological dose for targeted and immune therapies.

Yanhong Zhou, J Jack Lee, Ying Yuan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 60 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
60citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

60 citing papers in PubMed.

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  8. Generalized Pairwise Comparisons in Dose Optimization Oncology Trials: Beyond Safety to Multi-outcome Dose Selection.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2026
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  18. Estimands for Early-Phase Dose Optimization Trials in Oncology.Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Yanhong ZhouQuantitative Science, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center UTHealth Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Houston, Texas.ORCID 0000-0003-2744-2100
J Jack LeeDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.
Ying YuanDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.ORCID 0000-0003-3163-480X

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Fabien Delerue · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Targeting the PI3K Signaling Pathway in Endometrial CarcinomaP50CA098258 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI BROADDUS, RUSSELL R · 2003 to 2020
$32.0M
U.T. M. D. Anderson Cancer Center SPORE in Ovarian CancerP50CA217685 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI BAST, ROBERT C, SOOD, ANIL K · 2017 to 2021
$7.9M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P50 CA098258NCI NIH HHS P50 CA217685NIH HHS 1P50CA217685NIH HHS 5P50CA098258NIH HHS CA16672
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the era of targeted therapy and immunotherapy, the objective of dose finding is often to identify the optimal biological dose (OBD), rather than the maximum tolerated dose. We develop a utility-based Bayesian optimal interval (U-BOIN) phase I/II design to find the OBD. We jointly model toxicity and efficacy using a multinomial-Dirichlet model, and employ a utility function to measure dose risk-benefit trade-off. The U-BOIN design consists of two seamless stages. In stage I, the Bayesian optimal interval design is used to quickly explore the dose space and collect preliminary toxicity and efficacy data. In stage II, we continuously update the posterior estimate of the utility for each dose after each cohort, using accumulating efficacy and toxicity from both stages I and II, and then use the posterior estimate to direct the dose assignment and selection. Compared to existing phase I/II designs, one prominent advantage of the U-BOIN design is its simplicity for implementation. Once the trial is designed, it can be easily applied using predetermined decision tables, without complex model fitting and estimation. Our simulation study shows that, despite its simplicity, the U-BOIN design is robust and has high accuracy to identify the OBD. We extend the design to accommodate delayed efficacy by leveraging the short-term endpoint (eg, immune activity or other biological activity of targeted agents), and using it to predict the delayed efficacy outcome to facilitate real-time decision making. A user-friendly software to implement the U-BOIN is freely available at www.trialdesign.org.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsBayes TheoremBiostatisticsClinical Trials, Phase I as TopicClinical Trials, Phase II as TopicComputer SimulationDose-Response Relationship, DrugDose-Response Relationship, ImmunologicHumansImmunotherapyMaximum Tolerated DoseModels, StatisticalMolecular Targeted TherapyNeoplasmsSoftwareimmunotherapyoptimal biological dosephase I/IItargeted therapyutility-based design

Identifiers

PMID31621952
PMCPMC7927960

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.