Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31619058›Full record

ArticleAIDS care2020

Predicting the long-term impact of voluntary medical male circumcision on HIV incidence among men who have sex with men in Beijing, China.

Chen Zhang, Glenn F Webb, Jie Lou, Brian E Shepherd, Han-Zhu Qian, Yu Liu, Sten H Vermund

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS care, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Chen ZhangSchool of Nursing, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8771-561X
Glenn F WebbDepartments of Mathematics, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Jie LouDepartment of Mathematics, Shanghai University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Brian E ShepherdDepartments of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.
Han-Zhu QianSchool of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Yu LiuDepartment of Public Health Science, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY, USA.
Sten H VermundSchool of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
University of Rochester Medical Center · USVanderbilt University · USYale University · USShanghai University · CN

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Multi-component HIV Intervention Packages for Chinese MSMR01AI094562 · NIAID · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI QIAN, HAN-ZHU, VERMUND, STEN H. · 2011 to 2014
$2.5M
Expanded Testing, Linkage, and Treatment for HIV Prevention Among MSM in ChinaR34AI091446 · NIAID · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI VERMUND, STEN H. · 2011 to 2011
$226k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI094562NIAID NIH HHS R34 AI091446
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Using a deterministic compartmental modeling procedure to fit prevalence from 2005-2015, we projected new HIV cases during 2016-2026 under different coverage rates ranging from 0.0001 (at baseline) to 0.15 (an optimistic assumption) with simulations on varying transmission rates, model calibration to match historical data, and sensitivity analyses for different assumptions. Compared with the baseline (

Indexed as

BeijingChinaCircumcision, MaleHIV InfectionsHomosexuality, MaleHumansIncidenceMaleModels, TheoreticalSexual and Gender MinoritiesChinaHIVincidencemathematical modelingmen who have sex with menVoluntary medical male circumcision

Identifiers

PMID31619058
PMCPMC6981072
OpenAlexW2980888813

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.