ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2019
Ending the Epidemic in America Will Not Happen if the Status Quo Continues: Modeled Projections for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Incidence in 6 US Cities.
Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed.
- Establish a PrEP (Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis) Epidemiology, Modeling, and Surveillance (PREMISE) System to Analyze Trends in PrEP Uptake and the Impact of PrEP Programs and Policies: Protocol for a Natural Experiment and Modeling Study in the United States.JMIR research protocols · 2026Article
- A Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Framework for Public Health Decision Analysis.Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.) · 2025Article
- The future of HIV: challenges in meeting the 2030 Ending the HIV Epidemic in the US (EHE) reduction goal.AIDS (London, England) · 2025Article
- The Future of HIV: Challenges in meeting the 2030medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- The Testing Imperative: Why the US Ending the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Epidemic Program Needs to Renew Efforts to Expand HIV Testing in Clinical and Community-Based Settings.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023Article
- A Growing Number of Men Who Have Sex With Men Aging With HIV (20212031): A Comparison of Two Microsimulation Models.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2023Article
- Evaluating the sensitivity of jurisdictional heterogeneity and jurisdictional mixing in national level HIV prevention analyses: context of the U.S. ending the HIV epidemic plan.BMC medical research methodology · 2022Article
- HIV awareness, pre-exposure prophylaxis perceptions and experiences among people who exchange sex: qualitative and community based participatory study.BMC public health · 2022Article
- What Will It Take to End HIV in the United States? : A Comprehensive, Local-Level Modeling Study.Annals of internal medicine · 2021Article
- Improving health equity and ending the HIV epidemic in the USA: a distributional cost-effectiveness analysis in six cities.The lancet. HIV · 2021Article
- "Ending the Epidemic" Will Not Happen Without Addressing Racial/Ethnic Disparities in the United States Human Immunodeficiency Virus Epidemic.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2020Article
- Added Benefits of Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis Use on HIV Incidence with Minimal Changes in Efficiency in the Context of High Treatment Engagement Among Men Who Have Sex with Men.AIDS patient care and STDs · 2020Article
- Human Immunodeficiency Virus in the State of Texas of the United States: Past Reflections, Present Shortcomings, and Future Needs of the Public Health Response.Open forum infectious diseases · 2020Review
- Ending the HIV Epidemic Among Persons Who Inject Drugs: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in Six US Cities.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2020Article
- Dissemination Science to Advance the Use of Simulation Modeling: Our Obligation Moving Forward.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2020Article
- Ending the HIV epidemic in the USA: an economic modelling study in six cities.The lancet. HIV · 2020Article
- The impact of localized implementation: determining the cost-effectiveness of HIV prevention and care interventions across six United States cities.AIDS (London, England) · 2020Article
- Simulating the End of AIDS in New York: Using Participatory Dynamic Modeling to Improve Implementation of the Ending the Epidemic Initiative.Public health reports (Washington, D.C. : 1974)Article
- Exploring Changes in Racial/Ethnic Disparities of HIV Diagnosis Rates Under the "Ending the HIV Epidemic: A Plan for America" Initiative.Public health reports (Washington, D.C. : 1974)Article
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15 authors.
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Abstract
We estimated 10-year (2020-2030) trajectories for human immunodeficiency virus incidence in 6 US cities. Estimated incidence will only decrease in 2 of 6 cities, with the overall population-weighted incidence decreasing 3.1% (95% credible interval [CrI], -1.0% to 8.5%) by 2025, and 4.3% (95% CrI, -2.6% to 12.7%) by 2030 across cities. Targeted, context-specific combination implementation strategies will be necessary to meet the newly established national targets.
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