ArticleThe New phytologist2020
Increased aridity drives post-fire recovery of Mediterranean forests towards open shrublands.
Article in The New phytologist, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- World-wide impacts of climate change and nitrogen deposition on vegetation structure, composition, and functioning of shrublands.The New phytologist · 2025Pooled it
- Not only reseeder or resprouter plants: Trait syndromes and post-fire responses of three iconic Mediterranean woody species.Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany) · 2026Article
- Detecting vegetation anomalies in mediterranean ecosystems in southern Italy using sentinel-2 NDVI time series and principal component analysis.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- An Earth Observation-based Tier 3 framework for monitoring greenhouse gas emissions from forest fires in Italy.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Long-term recovery of canopy 3D structural diversity following wildfires in the world's largest temperate woodland.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Article
- Key concepts and a world-wide look at plant recruitment networks.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025Review
- Biodiversity and Management as Central Players in the Network of Relationships Underlying Forest Resilience.Global change biology · 2025Review
- The Effect of Grazing on Central Anatolian Steppe Vegetation: A Modeling Approach Using Functional Traits.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Increased aridity drives post-fire recovery of Mediterranean forests towards open shrublands.The New phytologist · 2023Article
- Microbial gradual shifts during the process of species replacement in Taihang Mountain.Frontiers in microbiology · 2023Article
- Secondary succession of shrub-herb communities in the hilly area of Taihang Mountain.Frontiers in plant science · 2023Article
- Article
- 8,000 years of climate, vegetation, fire and land-use dynamics in the thermo-mediterranean vegetation belt of northern Sardinia (Italy).Vegetation history and archaeobotany · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
12 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Recent observations suggest that repeated fires could drive Mediterranean forests to shrublands, hosting flammable vegetation that regrows quickly after fire. This feedback supposedly favours shrubland persistence and may be strengthened in the future by predicted increased aridity. An assessment was made of how fires and aridity in combination modulated the dynamics of Mediterranean ecosystems and whether the feedback could be strong enough to maintain shrubland as an alternative stable state to forest. A model was developed for vegetation dynamics, including stochastic fires and different plant fire-responses. Parameters were calibrated using observational data from a period up to 100 yr ago, from 77 sites with and without fires in Southeast Spain and Southern France. The forest state was resilient to the separate impact of fires and increased aridity. However, water stress could convert forests into open shrublands by hampering post-fire recovery, with a possible tipping point at intermediate aridity. Projected increases in aridity may reduce the resilience of Mediterranean forests against fires and drive post-fire ecosystem dynamics toward open shrubland. The main effect of increased aridity is the limitation of post-fire recovery. Including plant fire-responses is thus fundamental when modelling the fate of Mediterranean-type vegetation under climate-change scenarios.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.