ArticleNature communications2019
Mapping the increased minimum mortality temperatures in the context of global climate change.
Article in Nature communications, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 57 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
57 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 193 citations in OpenAlex.
- Effect modifiers of the temperature-mortality association for general and older adults population of Brazil's metropolitan areas.Cadernos de saude publica · 2025Pooled it
- Inverted U-shaped association between bacillary dysentery and temperature: A new finding using a novel two-stage strategy in multi-region studies.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Pooled it
- Influence of temperature on mortality in the French overseas regions: a pledge for adaptation to heat in tropical marine climates.International journal of biometeorology · 2022Pooled it
- Extreme heat reduces and reshapes urban mobility.PNAS nexus · 2026Article
- A standardized indicator reveals sharper increases in heat related mortality in temperate zone cities worldwide.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Does humidity matter? Prenatal heat and child health in South Asia.Science advances · 2025Article
- The Impact of Meteorological Variables on Heart Failure Hospitalizations.JACC. Advances · 2025Article
- State-of-Art in Studying the Public Health Effects of Heat: A Literature Review.Global challenges (Hoboken, NJ) · 2025Review
- Global trends and future projections of COPD burden under low-temperature risk: a 1990-2041 analysis based on GBD 2021.BMC pulmonary medicine · 2025Article
- Social factors, health policy, and environment: implications for cardiovascular disease across the globe.European heart journal · 2025Review
- Future temperature-related mortality in Latin American cities under climate change and population scenarios.Environment international · 2025Article
- Projections of Heat-Related Mortality in Chinese Cities: The Roles of Climate Change, Urbanization, Socioeconomic Adaptation, and Landscape-Level Strategies.Environmental health perspectives · 2025Article
- High temperature and cardiovascular disease in Australia under different climatic, demographic, and adaptive scenarios.European heart journal · 2025Article
- A new approach to estimate the heat thresholds at the county level in China.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Elderly vulnerability to temperature-related mortality risks in China.Science advances · 2025Article
- Article
- Temporal change in minimum mortality temperature under changing climate: A multicountry multicommunity observational study spanning 1986-2015.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2024Article
- Temperature-mortality associations by age and cause: a multi-country multi-city study.Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2024Article
- Cross-provincial inpatient mobility patterns and their determinants in China.BMC health services research · 2024Article
- Examining the non-linear association between ambient temperature and mental health of elderly adults in the community: evidence from Guangzhou, China.BMC public health · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality relationship. It reflects human adaptability to local climate. The existing MMT estimates were usually based on case studies in data rich regions, and limited evidence about MMT was available at a global scale. It is still unclear what the most significant driver of MMT is and how MMT will change under global climate change. Here, by analysing MMTs in 420 locations covering six continents (Antarctica was excluded) in the world, we found that although the MMT changes geographically, it is very close to the local most frequent temperature (MFT) in the same period. The association between MFT and MMT is not changed when we adjust for latitude and study year. Based on the MFT~MMT association, we estimate and map the global distribution of MMTs in the present (2010s) and the future (2050s) for the first time.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.