ArticleScientific reports2019
Epidemiological and time series analysis of haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome from 2004 to 2017 in Shandong Province, China.
Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Dual seasonal pattern for hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and its potential determinants in China.The Science of the total environment · 2023Pooled it
- Epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal heterogeneity of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in the Jiaodong Peninsula region, China, 2019-2025.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Spatio-temporal clustering and meteorological factors influencing HFRS incidence in mainland China, 2004-2021.Epidemiology and infection · 2025Article
- Correlating hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome incidence and research publications in China: insights from epidemiological and bibliometric analysis.One health outlook · 2025Article
- Effect and prediction of long-term weather and pollutant exposure on hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome: based on statistical models.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal distribution and meteorological factors of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Hubei province.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- Species-specific responses during Seoul orthohantavirus infection in human and rat lung microvascular endothelial cells.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- Time series analysis of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in mainland China by using an XGBoost forecasting model.BMC infectious diseases · 2021Article
- The changing epidemiology of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Southeastern China during 1963-2020: A retrospective analysis of surveillance data.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
- Epidemiology of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Tai'an area.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Effects and interaction of meteorological factors on hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome incidence in Huludao City, northeastern China, 2007-2018.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
- Misdiagnosis of scrub typhus as hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and potential co-infection of both diseases in patients in Shandong Province, China, 2013-2014.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
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10 authors.
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Abstract
Shandong Province is an area of China with a high incidence of haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS); however, the general epidemic trend of HFRS in Shandong remains unclear. Therefore, we established a mathematical model to predict the incidence trend of HFRS and used Joinpoint regression analysis, a generalised additive model (GAM), and other methods to evaluate the data. Incidence data from the first half of 2018 were included in a range predicted by a modified sum autoregressive integrated moving average-support vector machine (ARIMA-SVM) combination model. The highest incidence of HFRS occurred in October and November, and the annual mortality rate decreased by 7.3% (p < 0.05) from 2004 to 2017. In cold months, the incidence of HFRS increased by 4%, -1%, and 0.8% for every unit increase in temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall, respectively; in warm months, this incidence changed by 2%, -3%, and 0% respectively. Overall, HFRS incidence and mortality in Shandong showed a downward trend over the past 10 years. In both cold and warm months, the effects of temperature, relative humidity, and rainfall on HFRS incidence varied. A modified ARIMA-SVM combination model could effectively predict the occurrence of HFRS.
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