Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31598209›Full record

ArticleTherapeutic advances in chronic disease2019

Net benefit of statins for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in people 75 years or older: a benefit-harm balance modeling study.

Henock G Yebyo, Hélène E Aschmann, Dominik Menges, Cynthia M Boyd, Milo A Puhan

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Therapeutic advances in chronic disease, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Henock G YebyoEpidemiology, Biostatistics & Prevention Institute, University of Zurich, Hirschengraben 84, Zurich, CH-8001, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5400-2448
Hélène E AschmannDepartment of Epidemiology; Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Dominik MengesDepartment of Epidemiology; Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Cynthia M BoydThe Johns Hopkins University, School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Milo A PuhanDepartment of Epidemiology; Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
University of Zurich · CHJohns Hopkins University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe determined the risk thresholds above which statin use would be more likely to provide a net benefit for people over the age of 75 years without history of cardiovascular disease (CVD).

methodsAn exponential model was used to estimate the differences in expected benefit and harms in people treated with statins over a 10-year horizon

resultsBased on average preferences, statins were more likely to provide a net benefit at a 10-year CVD risk of 24% and 25% for men aged 75-79 years and 80-84 years, respectively, and 21% for women in both age groups. However, these thresholds varied significantly depending on differences in individual patient preferences for the statin-related outcomes, with interquartile ranges of 21-33% and 23-36% for men aged 75-79 years and 80-84 years, respectively, as well as 20-32% and 21-32% for women aged 75-79 years and 80-84 years, respectively.

conclusionsStatins would more likely provide a net benefit for primary prevention in older people taking the average preferences if their CVD risk is well above 20%. However, the thresholds could be much higher or lower depending on preferences of individual patients, which suggests more emphasis should be placed on individual-based decision-making, instead of recommending statins for everyone based on a single or a small number of thresholds.

Indexed as

benefit–harm balancecardiovascular disease risk thresholdlipid-lowering drugsprimary CVD preventionstatins

Identifiers

PMID31598209
PMCPMC6764041
OpenAlexW2976302135

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.