Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31595523›Full record

ArticleThe Medical journal of Australia2020

The predicted impact and cost-effectiveness of systematic testing of people with incident colorectal cancer for Lynch syndrome.

Yoon-Jung Kang, James Killen, Michael Caruana, Kate Simms, Natalie Taylor, Ian M Frayling, Tristan Snowsill, Nicola Huxley, Veerle Mh Coupe, Suzanne Hughes and 7 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Medical journal of Australia, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Clinicopathological characteristics of Lynch-like syndrome.International journal of clinical oncology · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Real-world study on microsatellite instability and mismatch repair deficiency testing patterns among patients with metastatic colorectal cancer in Spain.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2024
    Observational
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
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  17. Article
  18. Cost-Effectiveness of Colorectal Cancer Genetic Testing.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 8 institutions in 3 countries.

Yoon-Jung KangCancer Research Division, Cancer Council New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.ORCID 0000-0003-4045-1941
James KillenCancer Research Division, Cancer Council New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Michael CaruanaCancer Research Division, Cancer Council New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Kate SimmsCancer Research Division, Cancer Council New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Natalie TaylorCancer Research Division, Cancer Council New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Ian M FraylingInstitute of Medical Genetics, University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, United Kingdom.
Tristan SnowsillUniversity of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, United Kingdom.
Nicola HuxleyCentre for Health Economics, Monash Business School, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC.
Veerle Mh CoupeAmsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Suzanne HughesCancer Research Division, Cancer Council New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Victoria FreemanCancer Research Division, Cancer Council New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Alex BoussioutasUniversity of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC.
Alison H TrainerParkville Familial Cancer Centre, Peter MacCallum Cancer Institute, Melbourne, VIC.
Robyn L WardUniversity of Sydney, Sydney, NSW.
Gillian MitchellParkville Familial Cancer Centre, Peter MacCallum Cancer Institute, Melbourne, VIC.
Finlay A MacraeRoyal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, VIC.
Karen CanfellCancer Research Division, Cancer Council New South Wales, Sydney, NSW.
Cancer Council NSW · AUPeter MacCallum Cancer Centre · AUThe Royal Melbourne Hospital · AUThe University of Sydney · AUAmsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · NLMonash Health · AUUniversity Hospital of Wales · GBUniversity of Exeter · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo evaluate the health impact and cost-effectiveness of systematic testing for Lynch syndrome (LS) in people with incident colorectal cancer (CRC) in Australia. DESIGN, SETTING,

participantsWe investigated the impact of LS testing strategies in a micro-simulation model (Policy1-Lynch), explicitly modelling the cost of testing all patients diagnosed with incident CRC during 2017, with detailed modelling of outcomes for patients identified as LS carriers (probands) and their at-risk relatives throughout their lifetimes. For people with confirmed LS, we modelled ongoing colonoscopic surveillance.

main outcome measuresCost-effectiveness of six universal tumour testing strategies (testing for DNA mismatch repair deficiencies) and of universal germline gene panel testing of patients with incident CRC; impact on cost-effectiveness of restricting testing by age at CRC diagnosis (all ages, under 50/60/70 years) and of colonoscopic surveillance interval (one, two years).

resultsThe cost-effectiveness ratio of universal tumour testing strategies (annual colonoscopic surveillance, no testing age limit) compared with no testing ranged from $28 915 to $31 904/life-year saved (LYS) (indicative willingness-to-pay threshold: $30 000-$50 000/LYS). These strategies could avert 184-189 CRC deaths with an additional 30 597-31 084 colonoscopies over the lifetimes of 1000 patients with incident CRC with LS and 1420 confirmed LS carrier relatives (164-166 additional colonoscopies/death averted). The most cost-effective strategy was immunohistochemistry and BRAF V600E testing (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio [ICER], $28 915/LYS). Universal germline gene panel testing was not cost-effective compared with universal tumour testing strategies (ICER, $2.4 million/LYS). Immunohistochemistry and BRAF V600E testing was cost-effective at all age limits when paired with 2-yearly colonoscopic surveillance (ICER, $11 525-$32 153/LYS), and required 4778-15 860 additional colonoscopies to avert 46-181 CRC deaths (88-103 additional colonoscopies/death averted).

conclusionsUniversal tumour testing strategies for guiding germline genetic testing of people with incident CRC for LS in Australia are likely to be cost-effective compared with no testing. Universal germline gene panel testing would not currently be cost-effective.

Indexed as

AgedAustraliaColonoscopyColorectal Neoplasms, Hereditary NonpolyposisCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleGenetic TestingHumansImmunohistochemistryMaleMiddle AgedCancerColonoscopyCost-benefit analysisDigestive system neoplasmsEarly detection of cancerGenetic testingHealth policyNeoplasms, epidemiologyPreventive health servicesPublic health

Identifiers

PMID31595523
PMCPMC7027559
OpenAlexW2980001096

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.