Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31594511›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2019

Phylodynamics reveals extinction-recolonization dynamics underpin apparently endemic vampire bat rabies in Costa Rica.

Daniel G Streicker, Silvia Lucia Fallas González, Giovanna Luconi, Rocío González Barrientos, Bernal Leon

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  9. Inferring the disruption of rabies circulation in vampire bat populations using a betaherpesvirus-vectored transmissible vaccine.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Geographic Distribution of Common Vampire BatPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Daniel G StreickerMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK.
Silvia Lucia Fallas GonzálezLaboratorio de Pruebas de Paternidad, Caja Costarricense del Seguro Social, San José, Costa Rica.
Giovanna LuconiClínica Veterinaria Clivet, San José, Costa Rica.
Rocío González BarrientosLaboratorio de Bioseguridad, Laboratorio Nacional de Servicios Veterinarios, Servicio Nacional de Salud Animal, Heredia, Costa Rica.
Bernal LeonLaboratorio de Bioseguridad, Laboratorio Nacional de Servicios Veterinarios, Servicio Nacional de Salud Animal, Heredia, Costa Rica.
Universidad Nacional · CRCosta Rican Department of Social Security · CRMRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/8Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 102507/Z/13/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Variation in disease incidence in wildlife is often assumed to reflect environmental or demographic changes acting on an endemic pathogen. However, apparent endemicity might instead arise from spatial processes that are challenging to identify from traditional data sources including time series and field studies. Here, we analysed longitudinal sequence data collected from rabies virus outbreaks over 14 years in Costa Rica, a Central American country that has recorded continuous vampire bat-transmitted rabies outbreaks in humans and livestock since 1985. We identified five phylogenetically distinct lineages which shared most recent common ancestors with viruses from North and South America. Bayesian phylogeographic reconstructions supported bidirectional viral dispersals involving countries to the north and south of Costa Rica at different time points. Within Costa Rica, viruses showed little contemporaneous spatial overlap and no lineage was detected across all years of surveillance. Statistical models suggested that lineage disappearances were more likely to be explained by viral extinctions than undetected viral circulation. Our results highlight the importance of international viral dispersal for shaping the burden of rabies in Costa Rica, suggest a Central American corridor of rabies virus invasions between continents, and show that apparent disease endemicity may arise through recurrent pathogen extinctions and reinvasions which can be readily detected in relatively small datasets by joining phylodynamic and modelling approaches.

Indexed as

Rabies virusAnimalsBayes TheoremCentral AmericaChiropteraCosta RicaDisease OutbreaksPhylogenyPhylogeographyRabiesepidemic fadeoutlyssavirusNeotropicsreservoirspatial structurezoonosis

Identifiers

PMID31594511
PMCPMC6790760
OpenAlexW2979991065

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.