Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31582774›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2019

Bayesian spatial analysis of cholangiocarcinoma in Northeast Thailand.

Apiporn T Suwannatrai, Kavin Thinkhamrop, Archie C A Clements, Matthew Kelly, Kulwadee Suwannatrai, Bandit Thinkhamrop, Narong Khuntikeo, Darren J Gray, Kinley Wangdi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  9. Association of Cholangiocarcinoma among People with Periductal Fibrosis.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. RAW ATTITUDES: Socio-Cultures, Altered Landscapes, and Changing Perceptions of an Underestimated Disease.Recent results in cancer research. Fortschritte der Krebsforschung. Progres dans les recherches sur le cancer · 2023
    Article
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  17. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Apiporn T SuwannatraiDepartment of Parasitology, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand. apiporn@kku.ac.th.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3722-1427
Kavin ThinkhamropDepartment of Global Health, Research School of Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
Archie C A ClementsDepartment of Global Health, Research School of Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
Matthew KellyDepartment of Global Health, Research School of Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
Kulwadee SuwannatraiDepartment of Biology, Faculty of Science and Technology, Sakon Nakhon Rajabhat University, Sakon Nakhon, Thailand.
Bandit ThinkhamropData Management and Statistical Analysis Center (DAMASAC), Faculty of Public Health, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand.
Narong KhuntikeoCholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program (CASCAP), Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand.
Darren J GrayDepartment of Global Health, Research School of Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
Kinley WangdiDepartment of Global Health, Research School of Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a malignant neoplasm of the biliary tract. Thailand reports the highest incidence of CCA in the world. The aim of this study was to map the distribution of CCA and identify spatial disease clusters in Northeast Thailand. Individual-level data of patients with histopathologically confirmed CCA, aggregated at the sub-district level, were obtained from the Cholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program (CASCAP) between February 2013 and December 2017. For analysis a multivariate Zero-inflated, Poisson (ZIP) regression model was developed. This model incorporated a conditional autoregressive (CAR) prior structure, with posterior parameters estimated using Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation with Gibbs sampling. Covariates included in the models were age, sex, normalized vegetation index (NDVI), and distance to water body. There was a total of 1,299 cases out of 358,981 participants. CCA incidence increased 2.94 fold (95% credible interval [CrI] 2.62-3.31) in patients >60 years as compared to ≤60 years. Males were 2.53 fold (95% CrI: 2.24-2.85) more likely to have CCA when compared to females. CCA decreased with a 1 unit increase of NDVI (Relative Risk =0.06; 95% CrI: 0.01-0.63). When posterior means were mapped spatial clustering was evident after accounting for the model covariates. Age, sex and environmental variables were associated with an increase in the incidence of CCA. When these covariates were included in models the maps of the posterior means of the spatially structured random effects demonstrated evidence of spatial clustering.

Indexed as

Bayes TheoremBile Duct NeoplasmsCholangiocarcinomaFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSpatio-Temporal AnalysisThailand

Identifiers

PMID31582774
PMCPMC6776517

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.