ArticleScience advances2019
Mitigation efforts will not fully alleviate the increase in water scarcity occurrence probability in wheat-producing areas.
Article in Science advances, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
33 citing papers in PubMed.
- Evolution trajectory of auxin response factor across Triticeae species underpin candidate genes for the regulation of salt/alkali stress responsive networks.Plant cell reports · 2026Article
- Manipulating root-associated microbiomes to boost drought resistance in dryland winter wheat with Streptomyces pactum Act12.BMC microbiology · 2026Article
- Stable genetic loci orchestrate redox networks and grain traits in polyploid wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) under combined salinity and drought stress.Molecular genetics and genomics : MGG · 2025Article
- The TaCEP15 peptide signaling cascade modulates primary root length and drought tolerance in wheat.Science advances · 2025Article
- Transcriptomic Responses of Wheat Anthers to Drought Stress and Antitranspirants.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Integrating metabolomics and high-throughput phenotyping to elucidate metabolic and phenotypic responses to early-season drought stress in Nordic spring wheat.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- Modeling impacts of climate-induced yield variability and adaptations on wheat and maize in a sub-tropical monsoon climate - using fuzzy logic.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Silicon seed inoculation enhances antioxidants, physiology and yield of hybrid maize under heat stress.BMC plant biology · 2025Article
- Chemical Seed Priming: Molecules and Mechanisms for Enhancing Plant Germination, Growth, and Stress Tolerance.Current issues in molecular biology · 2025Review
- Search of Reflectance Indices for Estimating Photosynthetic Activity of Wheat Plants Under Drought Stress.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Natural variation in the chickpea metabolome under drought stress.Plant biotechnology journal · 2024Article
- Physiological potential of differentHeliyon · 2024Article
- Mapping the race between crop phenology and climate risks for wheat in France under climate change.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Environmental Assessment of Dryland and Irrigated Winter Wheat Cultivation under Compost Fertilization Strategies.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Physiological and RNA-Seq Analyses on Exogenous Strigolactones Alleviating Drought by Improving Antioxidation and Photosynthesis in Wheat (Antioxidants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Polar Metabolites Profiling of Wheat Shoots (International journal of molecular sciences · 2023Article
- Solutions to agricultural green water scarcity under climate change.PNAS nexus · 2023Article
- Transcriptomic and co-expression network analyses on diverse wheat landraces identifies candidate master regulators of the response to early drought.Frontiers in plant science · 2023Article
- Drought patterns: their spatiotemporal variability and impacts on maize production in Limpopo province, South Africa.International journal of biometeorology · 2023Article
- Development of bread wheat (Frontiers in genetics · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
15 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Global warming is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of severe water scarcity (SWS) events, which negatively affect rain-fed crops such as wheat, a key source of calories and protein for humans. Here, we develop a method to simultaneously quantify SWS over the world's entire wheat-growing area and calculate the probabilities of multiple/sequential SWS events for baseline and future climates. Our projections show that, without climate change mitigation (representative concentration pathway 8.5), up to 60% of the current wheat-growing area will face simultaneous SWS events by the end of this century, compared to 15% today. Climate change stabilization in line with the Paris Agreement would substantially reduce the negative effects, but they would still double between 2041 and 2070 compared to current conditions. Future assessments of production shocks in food security should explicitly include the risk of severe, prolonged, and near-simultaneous droughts across key world wheat-producing areas.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.