Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31578251›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2019

Allele-specific nonstationarity in evolution of influenza A virus surface proteins.

Anfisa V Popova, Ksenia R Safina, Vasily V Ptushenko, Anastasia V Stolyarova, Alexander V Favorov, Alexey D Neverov, Georgii A Bazykin

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Anfisa V PopovaDepartment of Molecular Diagnostics, Central Research Institute for Epidemiology, Moscow, 111123 Russia.
Ksenia R SafinaCenter of Life Sciences, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Skolkovo, 143028 Russia.
Vasily V PtushenkoA. N. Belozersky Institute of Physical-Chemical Biology, M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, 119992 Russia.ORCID 0000-0003-1268-4414
Anastasia V StolyarovaCenter of Life Sciences, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Skolkovo, 143028 Russia.ORCID 0000-0002-1418-6673
Alexander V FavorovDivision of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Department of Oncology, Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21205.
Alexey D NeverovDepartment of Molecular Diagnostics, Central Research Institute for Epidemiology, Moscow, 111123 Russia.
Georgii A BazykinCenter of Life Sciences, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Skolkovo, 143028 Russia; g.bazykin@skoltech.ru.ORCID 0000-0003-2334-2751
Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology · RUCentral Research Institute of Epidemiology · RUJohns Hopkins University · USLomonosov Moscow State University · RU

Funding

Translational Research Central ServicesP30CA006973 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Rosalie Wollett · 1985 to 2026
$208.6M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA006973
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Influenza A virus (IAV) is a major public health problem and a pandemic threat. Its evolution is largely driven by diversifying positive selection so that relative fitness of different amino acid variants changes with time due to changes in herd immunity or genomic context, and novel amino acid variants attain fitness advantage. Here, we hypothesize that diversifying selection also has another manifestation: the fitness associated with a particular amino acid variant should decline with time since its origin, as the herd immunity adapts to it. By tracing the evolution of antigenic sites at IAV surface proteins, we show that an amino acid variant becomes progressively more likely to become replaced by another variant with time since its origin-a phenomenon we call "senescence." Senescence is particularly pronounced at experimentally validated antigenic sites, implying that it is largely driven by host immunity. By contrast, at internal sites, existing variants become more favorable with time, probably due to arising contingent mutations at other epistatically interacting sites. Our findings reveal a previously undescribed facet of adaptive evolution and suggest approaches for prediction of evolutionary dynamics of pathogens.

Indexed as

AllelesAmino AcidsAntigens, ViralEvolution, MolecularGenetic VariationInfluenza A virusMembrane ProteinsPandemicsViral ProteinsAmino AcidsAntigens, ViralMembrane ProteinsViral Proteinsinfluenzanonstationary evolutionselection

Identifiers

PMID31578251
PMCPMC6800338
OpenAlexW2978506995

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.