Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31570585›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2019

Cooling requirements fueled the collapse of a desert bird community from climate change.

Eric A Riddell, Kelly J Iknayan, Blair O Wolf, Barry Sinervo, Steven R Beissinger

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Classifying avian drinking behaviour: ecological insights and implications in a changing world.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Phylogeography ofBiology · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Climate change and its effects on body size and shape: the role of endocrine mechanisms.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Maximum temperatures determine the habitat affiliations of North American mammals.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Eric A RiddellMuseum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720; riddell@berkeley.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-4229-4911
Kelly J IknayanMuseum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0002-3327-2235
Blair O WolfBiology Department, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87106.
Barry SinervoDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95060.ORCID 0000-0002-9241-1821
Steven R BeissingerMuseum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.ORCID 0000-0003-1323-2727

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change threatens global biodiversity by increasing extinction risk, yet few studies have uncovered a physiological basis of climate-driven species declines. Maintaining a stable body temperature is a fundamental requirement for homeothermic animals, and water is a vital resource that facilitates thermoregulation through evaporative cooling, especially in hot environments. Here, we explore the potential for thermoregulatory costs to underlie the community collapse of birds in the Mojave Desert over the past century in response to climate change. The probability of persistence was lowest for species occupying the warmest and driest sites, which imposed the greatest cooling costs. We developed a general model of heat flux to evaluate whether water requirements for evaporative cooling contributed to species' declines by simulating thermoregulatory costs in the Mojave Desert for 50 bird species representing the range of observed declines. Bird species' declines were positively associated with climate-driven increases in water requirements for evaporative cooling and exacerbated by large body size, especially for species with animal-based diets. Species exhibiting reductions in body size across their range saved up to 14% in cooling costs and experienced less decline than species without size reductions, suggesting total cooling costs as a mechanism underlying Bergmann's rule. Reductions in body size, however, are unlikely to offset the 50 to 78% increase in cooling costs threatening desert birds from future climate change. As climate change spreads warm, dry conditions across the planet, water requirements are increasingly likely to drive population declines, providing a physiological basis for climate-driven extinctions.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeExtinction, BiologicalAnimalsBasal MetabolismBirdsBody SizeBody TemperatureBody Temperature RegulationDesert ClimateUnited StatesWaterWaterBergmann’s ruleclimate changedesert birdsevaporative coolingthermoregulation

Identifiers

PMID31570585
PMCPMC6815107

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.