Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31565408›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2019

How coping can hide larger systems problems: the routine immunisation supply chain in Bihar, India.

Bruce Y Lee, Patrick T Wedlock, Elizabeth A Mitgang, Sarah N Cox, Leila A Haidari, Manoja K Das, Srihari Dutta, Bhrigu Kapuria, Shawn T Brown

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Bruce Y LeeGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2633-8651
Patrick T WedlockGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Elizabeth A MitgangGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Sarah N CoxGlobal Obesity Prevention Center (GOPC), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2447-0504
Leila A HaidariPublic Health Informatics, Computational, and Operations Research (PHICOR), Baltimore, Maryland and New York City, New York, USA.
Manoja K DasINCLEN Trust International, New Delhi, India.
Srihari DuttaUNICEF India, New Delhi, India.
Bhrigu KapuriaUNICEF Regional Office for South Asia, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Shawn T BrownHERMES Logistics Team, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and Baltimore, Maryland, USA.

Funding

MULTILEVEL SYSTEMS-ORIENTED CHILDHOOD OBESITY STUDY IN CHINAU54HD070725 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CURRIERO, FRANK · 2011 to 2016
$15.9M
Early Life Determinants of Obesity in U.S. Urban Low Income Minority Birth CohortR01HD086013 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, BRUCE Y, WANG, XIAOBIN · 2016 to 2020
$3.3M
Virtual Population Obesity Prevention (VPOP) Labs: Computational, Multi-Scale Models for Obesity SolutionsU01HD086861 · NICHD · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, BRUCE Y · 2015 to 2019
$2.8M
AHRQ HHS R01 HS023317NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD086013NICHD NIH HHS U01 HD086861NICHD NIH HHS U54 HD070725
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionCoping occurs when health system personnel must make additional, often undocumented efforts to compensate for existing system and management deficiencies. While such efforts may be done with good intentions, few studies evaluate the broader impact of coping.

methodsWe developed a computational simulation model of Bihar, India's routine immunisation supply chain where coping (ie, making additional vaccine shipments above stated policy) occurs. We simulated the impact of coping by allowing extra trips to occur as needed up to one time per day and then limiting coping to two times per week and three times per month before completely eliminating coping.

resultsCoping as needed resulted in 3754 extra vaccine shipments over stated policy resulting in 56% total vaccine availability and INR 2.52 logistics cost per dose administered. Limiting vaccine shipments to two times per week reduced shipments by 1224 trips, resulting in a 7% vaccine availability decrease to 49% and an 8% logistics cost per dose administered increase to INR 2.73. Limiting shipments to three times per month reduced vaccine shipments by 2635 trips, which decreased vaccine availability by 19% to 37% and increased logistics costs per dose administered by 34% to INR 3.38. Completely eliminating coping further reduced shipments by 1119 trips, decreasing total vaccine availability an additional 24% to 13% and increasing logistics cost per dose administered by 169% to INR 9.08.

conclusionOur results show how coping can hide major system design deficiencies and how restricting coping can improve problem diagnosis and potentially lead to enhanced system design.

Indexed as

health systemsvaccines

Identifiers

PMID31565408
PMCPMC6747917

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.