Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31564051›Full record

ArticleAmbio2020

Horizon scanning for South African biodiversity: A need for social engagement as well as science.

Colleen L Seymour, Lindsey Gillson, Matthew F Child, Krystal A Tolley, Jock C Curie, Jessica M da Silva, Graham J Alexander, Pippin Anderson, Colleen T Downs, Benis N Egoh and 7 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Ambio, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Colleen L SeymourSouth African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont, 7735, South Africa. c.seymour@sanbi.org.za.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6729-2576
Lindsey GillsonPlant Conservation Unit, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Cape Town, private Bag X3, Rondebosch, 7701, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9607-6760
Matthew F ChildSouth African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont, 7735, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1718-4638
Krystal A TolleySouth African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont, 7735, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7778-1963
Jock C CurieSouth African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont, 7735, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7226-2988
Jessica M da SilvaSouth African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont, 7735, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8385-1166
Graham J AlexanderSchool of Animal, Plant and Environmental Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2050, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3991-4099
Pippin AndersonDepartment of Environmental and Geographical Science, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch, 7701, South Africa.
Colleen T DownsCentre for Functional Biodiversity, School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Private Bag X01, Scottsville, Pietermaritzburg, 3209, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8334-1510
Benis N EgohDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, 92697, USA.
David A Ehlers SmithCentre for Functional Biodiversity, School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Private Bag X01, Scottsville, Pietermaritzburg, 3209, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6357-0751
Yvette C Ehlers SmithCentre for Functional Biodiversity, School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Private Bag X01, Scottsville, Pietermaritzburg, 3209, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2564-7359
Karen J EslerCentre for Invasion Biology and Department of Conservation Ecology & Entomology, Stellenbosch University, Private Bag x1, Matieland, 7602, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6510-727X
Patrick J O'FarrellCouncil for Scientific and Industrial Research, PO Box 320, Stellenbosch, 7599, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9538-8831
Andrew L SkownoSouth African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont, 7735, South Africa.
Essa SulemanNextGen Health Cluster, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, P.O. Box 395, Pretoria, 0001, South Africa.
Ruan VeldtmanSouth African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont, 7735, South Africa.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2258-6108

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A horizon scan was conducted to identify emerging and intensifying issues for biodiversity conservation in South Africa over the next 5-10 years. South African biodiversity experts submitted 63 issues of which ten were identified as priorities using the Delphi method. These priority issues were then plotted along axes of social agreement and scientific certainty, to ascertain whether issues might be "simple" (amenable to solutions from science alone), "complicated" (socially agreed upon but technically complicated), "complex" (scientifically challenging and significant levels of social disagreement) or "chaotic" (high social disagreement and highly scientifically challenging). Only three of the issues were likely to be resolved by improved science alone, while the remainder require engagement with social, economic and political factors. Fortunately, none of the issues were considered chaotic. Nevertheless, strategic communication, education and engagement with the populace and policy makers were considered vital for addressing emerging issues.

Indexed as

BiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesPoliticsSouth AfricaBiodiversity futuresConsensus and scientific knowledgeDelphi approachFuture scenariosStep changesThreats and opportunities

Identifiers

PMID31564051
PMCPMC7128016

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.