Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31560404›Full record

ArticleAddiction (Abingdon, England)2020

The decline in youth drinking in England-is everyone drinking less? A quantile regression analysis.

Melissa Oldham, Sarah Callinan, Victoria Whitaker, Hannah Fairbrother, Penny Curtis, Petra Meier, Michael Livingston, John Holmes

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. The Declining Trend in Adolescent Drinking: Do Volume and Drinking Pattern Go Hand in Hand?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Melissa OldhamSchool of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3868-2794
Sarah CallinanCentre for Alcohol Policy Research, LaTrobe University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-4146-1244
Victoria WhitakerSchool of Nursing and Midwifery, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Hannah FairbrotherSchool of Nursing and Midwifery, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Penny CurtisSchool of Nursing and Midwifery, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Petra MeierSchool of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5354-1933
Michael LivingstonCentre for Alcohol Policy Research, LaTrobe University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8995-9386
John HolmesSchool of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9283-2151
University of Sheffield · GBLa Trobe University · AU

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K023195/1Wellcome Trust 208090/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsYouth alcohol consumption has declined significantly during the past 15 years in many high-income countries, which may have significant public health benefits. However, if the reductions in drinking occur mainly among lighter drinkers who are at lower risk, then rates of alcohol-related harm among young people today and adults in future may not fall in line with consumption. There is conflicting evidence from Swedish school studies, with some suggesting that all young people are drinking less, while others suggest that alcohol consumption among heavier drinkers may be stable or rising while average consumption declines. This paper extends the geographical focus of previous research and examines whether the decline in youth drinking is consistent across the consumption distribution in England.

designQuantile regression of 15 waves of repeat cross-sectional survey data.

settingEngland, 2001-16.

participantsA total of 31 882 schoolchildren (50.7% male) aged 11-15 who responded to the Smoking Drinking and Drug Use among Young People surveys. MEASUREMENTS: Past-week alcohol consumption in UK units at each fifth percentile of the consumption distribution.

findingsReductions in alcohol consumption occurred at all percentiles of the consumption distribution analysed between 2001 and 2016, but the magnitude of the decline differed across percentiles. The decline in consumption at the 90th percentile [β = -0.21, confidence interval (CI) = -0.24, -0.18] was significantly larger than among either lighter drinkers at the 50th percentile (β = -0.02, CI = -0.02, -0.01) or heavier drinkers at the 95th percentile (β = -0.16, CI = -0.18, -0.13).

conclusionsAlcohol consumption among young people in England appears to be declining across the consumption distribution, and peaks among heavy drinkers. The magnitude of this decline differs significantly between percentiles of the consumption distribution, with consumption falling proportionally less among the lightest, moderate and very heaviest youth drinkers.

Indexed as

AdolescentChildCross-Sectional StudiesEnglandFemaleHumansMaleRegression AnalysisUnderage DrinkingAlcohol consumptioncollectivitypolarizationtrend analysisyoung peopleyouth drinking

Identifiers

PMID31560404
PMCPMC7004203
OpenAlexW2975318355

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.