ArticleDeutsches Arzteblatt international2019
Projection of Temperature-Related Myocardial Infarction in Augsburg, Germany: Moving on From the Paris Agreement on Climate Change.
Article in Deutsches Arzteblatt international, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.
- KlimaNot-Effects of Climate Change on Emergency and Acute Care: Protocol for a Multicenter, Registry-Based Observational Cohort Study.JMIR research protocols · 2026Observational
- [Systemic barriers prevent competence-based teaching in the field of planetary health : An online survey among students and descriptive analysis of the National Competence-based Catalogue of Learning Objectives for Medicine 2.0].Die Anaesthesiologie · 2025Article
- [Effects of high thermal stress on health-a nationwide analysis based on statutory health insurance routine data between 2012 and 2021].Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz · 2025Article
- [Pathophysiology and management of heat illness].Medizinische Klinik, Intensivmedizin und Notfallmedizin · 2024Review
- Impact of Climate on the Incidence of Acute Coronary Syndrome - Differences Between Japan and Thailand.Circulation reports · 2024Article
- [Health and climate change-what is the potential of real-world data?]Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz · 2024Review
- Health Co-Benefits of Environmental Changes in the Context of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality in China.Health data science · 2024Review
- Diet-Attributable Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Acute Myocardial Infarction in Costa Rica Heart Study.Nutrients · 2023Article
- Heat in Germany: Health risks and preventive measures.Journal of health monitoring · 2023Article
- Triggering of myocardial infarction by heat exposure is modified by medication intake.Nature cardiovascular research · 2022Article
- Health Interventions for Preventing Climate-Sensitive Diseases: Scoping Review.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2022Article
- What do Final Year Medical Students in Germany know and think about Climate Change? - The ClimAttitude Study.Medical education online · 2021Article
- Cardiovascular risks of climate change.Nature reviews. Cardiology · 2021Article
- [New challenges for intensive care medicine due to climate change and global warming].Der Anaesthesist · 2020Review
- After the game is before the game!GMS journal for medical education · 2020Article
- Global Warming-the German Picture.Deutsches Arzteblatt international · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundSubstantial efforts are required to limit global warming to under 2 °C, with 1.5 °C as the target (Paris Agreement goal). We set out to project future temperature-related myocardial infarction (MI) events in Augsburg, Germany, at increases in warming of 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C.
methodsUsing daily time series of MI cases and temperature projections under two climate scenarios, we projected changes in temperature-related MIs at different increases in warming, assuming no changes in population structure or level of adaptation.
resultsIn a low-emission scenario that limits warming to below 2 °C throughout the 21st century, temperature-related MI cases will decrease slightly by -6 (confidence interval -60; 50) per decade at 1.5 °C of warming. In a high-emission scenario going beyond the Paris Agreement goals, temperature-related MI cases will increase by 18 (-64; 117) and 63 (-83; 257) per decade with warming of 2 °C and 3 °C, respectively.
conclusionThe future burden of temperature-related MI events in Augsburg at 2 °C and 3 °C of warming will be greater than at 1.5 °C. Fulfilling the Paris Agreement goal of limiting global warming to no more than 1.5 °C is therefore essential to avoid additional MI events due to climate change.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.