Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31545819›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2019

Detecting space-time clusters of dengue fever in Panama after adjusting for vector surveillance data.

Ari Whiteman, Michael R Desjardins, Gilberto A Eskildsen, Jose R Loaiza

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. Large-scale epidemiological monitoring of the COVID-19 epidemic in Tokyo.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ari WhitemanSmithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa Ancón, Republic of Panama.ORCID 0000-0001-5902-2595
Michael R DesjardinsDepartment of Geography and Earth Sciences, Center for Applied Geographic Information Science, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, United States of America.
Gilberto A EskildsenDepartment of Biotechnology, Acharya Nagarjuna University, Guntur, India.ORCID 0000-0001-8868-423X
Jose R LoaizaSmithsonian Tropical Research Institute, Balboa Ancón, Republic of Panama.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Long term surveillance of vectors and arboviruses is an integral aspect of disease prevention and control systems in countries affected by increasing risk. Yet, little effort has been made to adjust space-time risk estimation by integrating disease case counts with vector surveillance data, which may result in inaccurate risk projection when several vector species are present, and when little is known about their likely role in local transmission. Here, we integrate 13 years of dengue case surveillance and associated Aedes occurrence data across 462 localities in 63 districts to estimate the risk of infection in the Republic of Panama. Our exploratory space-time modelling approach detected the presence of five clusters, which varied by duration, relative risk, and spatial extent after incorporating vector species as covariates. The Ae. aegypti model contained the highest number of districts with more dengue cases than would be expected given baseline population levels, followed by the model accounting for both Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus. This implies that arbovirus case surveillance coupled with entomological surveillance can affect cluster detection and risk estimation, potentially improving efforts to understand outbreak dynamics at national scales.

Indexed as

AedesAnimalsDengueDengue VirusEnvironmental MonitoringEpidemiological MonitoringHumansMosquito VectorsPanama

Identifiers

PMID31545819
PMCPMC6776363

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.