Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31542886›Full record

ArticleAmbio2019

Nitrate leaching losses from two Baltic Sea catchments under scenarios of changes in land use, land management and climate.

Jørgen E Olesen, Christen D Børgesen, Fatemeh Hashemi, Mohamed Jabloun, Dominika Bar-Michalczyk, Przemyslaw Wachniew, Anna J Zurek, Alena Bartosova, Thomas Bosshard, Anne L Hansen and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ambio, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Jørgen E OlesenDepartment of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Blichers Allé 20, 8830, Tjele, Denmark. jeo@agro.au.dk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6639-1273
Christen D BørgesenDepartment of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Blichers Allé 20, 8830, Tjele, Denmark.
Fatemeh HashemiDepartment of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Blichers Allé 20, 8830, Tjele, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4756-9339
Mohamed JablounDepartment of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Blichers Allé 20, 8830, Tjele, Denmark.
Dominika Bar-MichalczykInstitute of Technology and Life Sciences, Falenty, Al. Hrabska 3, 05-090, Raszyn, Poland.
Przemyslaw WachniewAGH University of Science and Technology, Mickiewicza 30, 30-059, Kraków, Poland.
Anna J ZurekAGH University of Science and Technology, Mickiewicza 30, 30-059, Kraków, Poland.
Alena BartosovaSwedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.
Thomas BosshardSwedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.
Anne L HansenGeological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS), Øster Voldgade 10, 1350, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Jens C RefsgaardGeological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS), Øster Voldgade 10, 1350, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0420-349X

Funding

BONUS Art 185
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pollution with excess nutrients deteriorate the water quality of the Baltic Sea. The effect of combined land use and climate scenarios on nitrate leaching and nitrogen (N) loads to surface waters from two Baltic Sea catchments (Norsminde in Denmark and Kocinka in Poland) was explored using different models; the NLES and Daisy models for nitrate leaching, and MIKE SHE or MODFLOW/MT3DMS for N transport. Three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1, SSP2 and SSP5) defined change in land use and agricultural activities. The climate change scenarios covered 2041-2060 compared with 1991-2010 under RCP8.5, applying four different climate models. Increases in predicted N-load from climate change vary from 20 to 60% depending on climate model. SSPs moderate these N-load changes with small changes for SSP1 to large increases for SSP5, with greater increases for Norsminde than Kocinka due to land use differences. This stresses needs for new measures and governing schemes to meet sustainability targets.

Indexed as

AgricultureNitratesClimate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesDenmarkPolandNitratesClimate changeDiffuse water pollutionLand managementLand useNitate leachingNitrogen load

Identifiers

PMID31542886
PMCPMC6814696

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.