Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31540256›Full record

ArticleInsects2019

Estimation of the Potential Infestation Area of Newly-invaded Fall Armyworm

Qiu-Lin Wu, Li-Mei He, Xiu-Jing Shen, Yu-Ying Jiang, Jie Liu, Gao Hu, Kong-Ming Wu

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Insects, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

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  6. Insects · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Qiu-Lin WuState Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0103-2891
Li-Mei HeState Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China.
Xiu-Jing ShenState Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China.
Yu-Ying JiangNational Agro-Tech Extension and Service Center, Beijing 100125, China.
Jie LiuNational Agro-Tech Extension and Service Center, Beijing 100125, China.
Gao HuDepartment of Entomology, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1000-5687
Kong-Ming WuState Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China. wukongming@caas.cn.ORCID 0000-0003-3555-4292

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 31727901The Key Scientific & Technological Program for the Joint Control of the Fall Armyworm by Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences Y2019YJ06
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The fall armyworm (FAW), native to the Americas, has rapidly invaded the whole of Southern China since January 2019. In addition, it can survive and breed in the key maize- and rice- growing area of the Yangtze River Valley. Furthermore, this pest is also likely to continue infiltrating other cropping regions in China, where food security is facing a severe threat. To understand the potential infestation area of newly-invaded FAW from the Yangtze River Valley, we simulated and predicted the possible flight pathways and range of the populations using a numerical trajectory modelling method combining meteorological data and self-powered flight behavior parameters of FAW. Our results indicate that the emigration of the first and second generations of newly-invaded FAW initiating from the Yangtze River Valley started on 20 May 2019 and ended on 30 July 2019. The spread of migratory FAW benefitted from transport on the southerly summer monsoon so that FAW emigrants from the Yangtze River Valley can reach northern China. The maize-cropping areas of Northeastern China, the Korean Peninsula and Japan are at a high risk. This study provides a basis for early warning and a broad picture of FAW migration from the Yangtze River Valley.

Indexed as

atmospheric circulationexotic pestforecastingSpodoptera frugiperdatrajectory analysiswindborne migration

Identifiers

PMID31540256
PMCPMC6780859

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.