Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31540201›Full record

Observational studyInternational journal of environmental research and public health2019

The Pros and Cons of the Prediction Game: The Never-ending Debate of Mortality in the Intensive Care Unit.

Piotr A Fuchs, Iwona J Czech, Łukasz J Krzych

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Predictive value of NLMR, PLR, and ferritin in relation to SOFA, APACHE II, and SAPS II in sepsis patients.Journal of critical care medicine (Universitatea de Medicina si Farmacie din Targu-Mures) · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Is Carboxyhaemoglobin an Effective Bedside Prognostic Tool for Sepsis and Septic Shock Patients?Journal of critical care medicine (Universitatea de Medicina si Farmacie din Targu-Mures) · 2023
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Mortality related to drug-resistant organisms in surgical sepsis-3: an 8-year time trend study using sequential organ failure assessment scores.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2021
    Observational
  12. Article
  13. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Piotr A FuchsDepartment of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care, School of Medicine in Katowice, Medical University of Silesia, 14 Medykow Street, 40752 Katowice, Poland. fuchspiotr@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-1578-507X
Iwona J CzechDepartment of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care, School of Medicine in Katowice, Medical University of Silesia, 14 Medykow Street, 40752 Katowice, Poland.
Łukasz J KrzychDepartment of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care, School of Medicine in Katowice, Medical University of Silesia, 14 Medykow Street, 40752 Katowice, Poland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scales are scoring systems used in intensive care units (ICUs) worldwide. We aimed to investigate their usefulness in predicting short- and long-term prognosis in the local ICU.

methodsThis single-center observational study covered 905 patients admitted from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2017 to a tertiary mixed ICU. SAPS II, APACHE II, and SOFA scores were calculated based on the worst values from the first 24 h post-admission. Patients were divided into surgical (SP) and nonsurgical (NSP) subjects. Unadjusted ICU and post-ICU discharge mortality rates were considered the outcomes.

resultsBaseline SAPS II, APACHE II, and SOFA scores were 41.1 ± 20.34, 14.07 ± 8.73, and 6.33 ± 4.12 points, respectively. All scores were significantly lower among SP compared to NSP (

conclusionsAlthough APACHE II and SAPS II are good predictors of ICU mortality, they failed to predict survival after discharge. Surgical patients had a better prognosis than medical ICU patients.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalitySeverity of Illness IndexAgedFemaleHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisROC CurveAPACHE IIintensive care unitmortalityprognosisSAPS IISOFA

Identifiers

PMID31540201
PMCPMC6766032

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.