Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31538566›Full record

ArticlePreventing chronic disease2019

Building Risk Prediction Models for Type 2 Diabetes Using Machine Learning Techniques.

Zidian Xie, Olga Nikolayeva, Jiebo Luo, Dongmei Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Preventing chronic disease, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  7. Survey-Based Machine Learning Models for Early Detection of Diabetes.The 7th International Conference on Wireless, Intelligent and Distributed Environment for Communication : WIDECOM 2024. International Conference on Wireless, Intelligent and Distributed Environment for Communication (7th : 2024 : Keene,... · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
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  14. Correlation analysis of diabetes based on Copula.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2024
    Article
  15. A Practical Approach to Disease Risk Prediction: Focus on High-Risk Patients via Highest-Proceedings. IEEE International Conference on Bioinformatics and Biomedicine · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
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  18. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Zidian XieClinical and Translational Science Institute, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, 265 Crittenden Blvd CU 420708, Rochester, NY 14642-0708. Email: zidian_xie@urmc.rochester.edu.
Olga NikolayevaGoergen Institute of Data Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester, New York.
Jiebo LuoDepartment of Computer Science, University of Rochester, Rochester, New York.
Dongmei LiClinical and Translational Science Institute, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, Rochester, New York.

Funding

The University of Rochester's Clinical and Translational Science InstituteUL1TR002001 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF ROCHESTER · PI WILSON, KAREN M., ZAND, MARTIN S · 2016 to 2024
$34.6M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAs one of the most prevalent chronic diseases in the United States, diabetes, especially type 2 diabetes, affects the health of millions of people and puts an enormous financial burden on the US economy. We aimed to develop predictive models to identify risk factors for type 2 diabetes, which could help facilitate early diagnosis and intervention and also reduce medical costs.

methodsWe analyzed cross-sectional data on 138,146 participants, including 20,467 with type 2 diabetes, from the 2014 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. We built several machine learning models for predicting type 2 diabetes, including support vector machine, decision tree, logistic regression, random forest, neural network, and Gaussian Naive Bayes classifiers. We used univariable and multivariable weighted logistic regression models to investigate the associations of potential risk factors with type 2 diabetes.

resultsAll predictive models for type 2 diabetes achieved a high area under the curve (AUC), ranging from 0.7182 to 0.7949. Although the neural network model had the highest accuracy (82.4%), specificity (90.2%), and AUC (0.7949), the decision tree model had the highest sensitivity (51.6%) for type 2 diabetes. We found that people who slept 9 or more hours per day (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.25) or had checkup frequency of less than 1 year (aOR = 2.31, 95% CI, 1.86-2.85) had higher risk for type 2 diabetes.

conclusionOf the 8 predictive models, the neural network model gave the best model performance with the highest AUC value; however, the decision tree model is preferred for initial screening for type 2 diabetes because it had the highest sensitivity and, therefore, detection rate. We confirmed previously reported risk factors and also identified sleeping time and frequency of checkup as 2 new potential risk factors related to type 2 diabetes.

Indexed as

Decision TreesModels, BiologicalNeural Networks, ComputerArea Under CurveBehavioral Risk Factor Surveillance SystemDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2HumansRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID31538566
PMCPMC6795062

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.