Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31537568›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Early childhood vaccination and subsequent mortality or morbidity: are observational studies hampered by residual confounding? A Danish register-based cohort study.

Andreas Jensen, Per Kragh Andersen, Lone Graff Stensballe

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Andreas JensenThe Child and Adolescent Clinic, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark andreas.jensen.01@regionh.dk.ORCID 0000-0003-4302-2982
Per Kragh AndersenSection of Biostatistics, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Lone Graff StensballeThe Child and Adolescent Clinic, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-1569-153X
Copenhagen University Hospital · DKUniversity of Copenhagen · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo estimate the association between childhood vaccination and subsequent morbidity and mortality by adjusting for environmental and host factors. Further, to examine the degree of residual confounding in such observational studies.

designRegister-based cohort study including 1 122 929 Danish children.

participantsAll children born in Denmark in the period 1999-2016 who survived until 16 months of age without prior migration followed from 16 months until the first of the following: event of interest, migration, 5 years of age or 31 December 2016.

main outcome measuresAdjusted HRs (aHRs) and absolute risks were calculated for the three outcomes: mortality, hospitalisation for infection and asthma using register data on deaths, specific hospital contacts and dispensed prescribed medication. The exposure was the combination of the routine vaccines against diphteria-tetanus-pertussis-polio-

resultsChildren with 3DTP+MMR had a lower hazard of mortality than the reference group with 3DTP, adjusted HR (aHR)=0.45 (95% CI: 0.35 to 0.57), whereas the children with 1 or 2 DTP had higher hazards of dying, aHR=1.55 (95% CI: 1.14 to 2.13) and aHR=1.96 (95% CI: 1.34 to 2.89). The vaccination group 3DTP+MMR was associated with a reduced hazard of asthma aHR=0.94 (95% CI: 0.92 to 0.96). Also, the vaccination group 3DTP+MMR was associated with a reduced hazard of hospitalisation due to accidents, aHR=0.83 (0.80 to 0.85) compared with the reference group with 3 DTP.

conclusionsThe results suggested a beneficial impact of MMR on under-five mortality but did not support the hypothesis that DTP is detrimental, since the group of children with fewer DTP vaccinations experienced increased mortality. The results of the study may to some degree be prone to residual confounding since an unexpected association between MMR vaccination and hospitalisation for accidents was observed.

Indexed as

Diphtheria-Tetanus-Pertussis VaccineInfectionsMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineVaccinationAsthmaCause of DeathChildChild MortalityChild, PreschoolConfounding Factors, EpidemiologicDenmarkFemaleHaemophilus VaccinesHospitalizationHumansInfantDiphtheria-Tetanus-Pertussis VaccineHaemophilus VaccinesMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccinePertussis Vaccineasthmachild protectionpaediatric infectious disease & immunisation

Identifiers

PMID31537568
PMCPMC6756458
OpenAlexW2973619822

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.