Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31537405›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2019

Bias in the estimation of cumulative viremia in cohort studies of HIV-infected individuals.

Maia Lesosky, Tracy Glass, Brian Rambau, Nei-Yuan Hsiao, Elaine J Abrams, Landon Myer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Maia LesoskyDivision of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Observatory, South Africa. Electronic address: lesosky@gmail.com.
Tracy GlassDivision of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Observatory, South Africa.
Brian RambauDivision of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Observatory, South Africa.
Nei-Yuan HsiaoDivision of Medical Virology, Department of Pathology, University of Cape Town and National Health Laboratory Services, Observatory, South Africa.
Elaine J AbramsICAP at Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University and College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY.
Landon MyerDivision of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Observatory, South Africa.

Funding

Optimizing routine HIV viral load monitoring in pregnant and postpartum womenR21HD093463 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN · PI LESOSKY, MAIA ROSE · 2018 to 2019
$287k
NICHD NIH HHS R21 HD093463
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe use of cumulative measures of exposure to raised HIV viral load (viremia copy-years) is increasingly common in HIV prevention and treatment epidemiology due to the association of long-term elevated viral load with more rapid progression to disease. We sought to estimate the magnitude and direction of bias in a cumulative measure of viremia caused by different frequency of sampling and duration of follow-up.

methodsWe simulated longitudinal viral load measures and reanalyzed cohort study data sets with longitudinal viral load measurements under different sampling strategies to estimate cumulative viremia.

resultsIn both simulated and observed data, estimates of cumulative viremia by the trapezoidal rule show systematic upward bias when there are fewer sampling time points and/or increased duration between sampling time points, compared with estimation of full time series. Absolute values of cumulative viremia vary appreciably by the patterns of viral load over time, even after adjustment for total duration of follow-up.

conclusionsSampling bias due to differential frequency of sampling appears extensive and of meaningful magnitude in measures of cumulative viremia. Cumulative measures of viremia should be used only in studies with sufficient frequency of viral load measures and always as relative measures.

Indexed as

AdultAnti-HIV AgentsAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveBiasCohort StudiesFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleViral LoadViremiaAnti-HIV Agentscumulative exposurecumulative viral loadHIVviral copy yearsviral load

Identifiers

PMID31537405
PMCPMC6812622

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.