Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31532772›Full record

ArticlePloS one2019

Prediction of cardiovascular disease risk among people with severe mental illness: A cohort study.

Ruth Cunningham, Katrina Poppe, Debbie Peterson, Susanna Every-Palmer, Ian Soosay, Rod Jackson

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Article in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ruth CunninghamDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0003-0090-3579
Katrina PoppeSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Population Health, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Debbie PetersonDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Susanna Every-PalmerDepartment of Psychological Medicine, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Ian SoosaySchool of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Rod JacksonSection of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Population Health, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine whether contemporary sex-specific cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction equations underestimate CVD risk in people with severe mental illness from the cohort in which the equations were derived.

methodsWe identified people with severe mental illness using information on prior specialist mental health treatment. This group were identified from the PREDICT study, a prospective cohort study of 495,388 primary care patients aged 30 to 74 years without prior CVD that was recently used to derive new CVD risk prediction equations. CVD risk was calculated in participants with and without severe mental illness using the new equations and the predicted CVD risk was compared with observed risk in the two participant groups using survival methods.

results28,734 people with a history of recent contact with specialist mental health services, including those without a diagnosis of a psychotic disorder, were identified in the PREDICT cohort. They had a higher observed rate of CVD events compared to those without such a history. The PREDICT equations underestimated the risk for this group, with a mean observed:predicted risk ratio of 1.29 in men and 1.64 in women. In contrast the PREDICT algorithm performed well for those without mental illness.

conclusionsClinicians using CVD risk assessment tools that do not include severe mental illness as a predictor could by underestimating CVD risk by about one-third in men and two-thirds in women in this patient group. All CVD risk prediction equations should be updated to include mental illness indicators.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAlgorithmsCardiovascular DiseasesCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMental DisordersMental Health ServicesMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentSex Characteristics

Identifiers

PMID31532772
PMCPMC6750572

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.