Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31530609›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2019

Health economic assessment of a scenario to promote bicycling as active transport in Stockholm, Sweden.

Hedi Katre Kriit, Jennifer Stewart Williams, Lars Lindholm, Bertil Forsberg, Johan Nilsson Sommar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. The Health Cost of Transport in Cities.Current environmental health reports · 2021
    Review
  9. Health Literacy and Active Transport in Austria: Results from a Rural Setting.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Hedi Katre KriitSustainable Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden hedi.kriit@umu.se.
Jennifer Stewart WilliamsDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Lars LindholmDepartment of Epidemiology and Global Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Bertil ForsbergSustainable Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Johan Nilsson SommarSustainable Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-8854-498X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo conduct a health economic evaluation of a proposed investment in urban bicycle infrastructure in Stockholm County, Sweden.

designA cost-effectiveness analysis is undertaken from a healthcare perspective. Investment costs over a 50-year life cycle are offset by averted healthcare costs and compared with estimated long-term impacts on morbidity, quantified in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The results are re-calculated under different assumptions to model the effects of uncertainty.

settingThe Municipality of Stockholm (population 2.27 million) committed funds for bicycle path infrastructure with the aim of achieving a 15% increase in the number of bicycle commuters by 2030. This work is based on a previously constructed scenario, in which individual registry data on home and work address and a transport model allocation to different modes of transport identified 111 487 individuals with the physical capacity to bicycle to work within 30 min but that currently drive a car to work.

resultsMorbidity impacts and healthcare costs attributed to increased physical activity, change in air pollution exposure and accident risk are quantified under the scenario. The largest reduction in healthcare costs is attributed to increased physical activity and the second largest to reduced air pollution exposure among the population of Greater Stockholm. The expected net benefit from the investment is 8.7% of the 2017 Stockholm County healthcare budget, and 3.7% after discounting. The economic evaluation estimates that the intervention is cost-effective and each DALY averted gives a surplus of €9933. The results remained robust under varied assumptions pertaining to reduced numbers of additional bicycle commuters.

conclusionInvesting in urban infrastructure to increase bicycling as active transport is cost-effective from a healthcare sector perspective.

Indexed as

Air PollutionBicyclingHealth BehaviorCitiesCost-Benefit AnalysisHealth Care CostsHumansRisk Reduction BehaviorSwedenTransportationcommutingDALYhealth economic evaluationhealth impactstransport mode shift

Identifiers

PMID31530609
PMCPMC6756337

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.