Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31527924›Full record

ArticleBioscience2019

A Framework for Global Twenty-First Century Scenarios and Models of Biological Invasions.

Bernd Lenzner, David Leclère, Oskar Franklin, Hanno Seebens, Núria Roura-Pascual, Michael Obersteiner, Stefan Dullinger, Franz Essl

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bioscience, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Trouble on the horizon: anticipating biological invasions through futures thinking.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Shared Socio-economic Pathways for European agriculture and food systems: The Eur-Agri-SSPs.Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions · 2020
    Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Bernd LenznerDivision of Conservation Biology, Landscape, and Vegetation Ecology at the University of Vienna, in Austria, and with the International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-2616-3479
David LeclèreIIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Oskar FranklinIIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Hanno SeebensSenckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, in Frankfurt, Germany.
Núria Roura-PascualDepartament de Ciències Ambientals at the Universitat de Girona, in Catalonia, Spain, and with the Centre Tecnològic Forestal de Catalunya, in Solsona, Catalonia, Spain.
Michael ObersteinerIIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Stefan DullingerDivision of Conservation Biology, Landscape, and Vegetation Ecology at the University of Vienna, in Vienna, Austria.
Franz EsslDivision of Conservation Biology, Landscape, and Vegetation Ecology at the University of Vienna, in Vienna, Austria.

Funding

Austrian Science Fund FWF I 3757Austrian Science Fund FWF I 4011
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Biological invasions have emerged as an eminent feature of global change, with substantial impacts on the environment and human livelihoods. Current research demonstrates that the numbers and impacts of alien species are rising unabatedly. At the same time, we lack a thorough understanding of potential future trajectories for the decades to come. With the recent establishment of comprehensive global databases, it is, for the first time, feasible to develop and quantify future scenarios of biological invasions. Therefore, we propose a conceptual framework for how to develop alien species scenarios for the twenty-first century and how to identify relevant steps and challenges along the way. The concept will be important to inform research, policy, stakeholders, and the general public. Furthermore, we call for the scientific community to join forces and to operationalize the framework for scenarios and models of biological invasions to develop an important baseline for understanding and managing future biological invasions.

Indexed as

alien speciesimpactsmanagementprojectionsscenarios

Identifiers

PMID31527924
PMCPMC6739238

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.