Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31527053›Full record

ArticleBMJ quality & safety2020

Medication-related harm in older adults following hospital discharge: development and validation of a prediction tool.

Nikesh Parekh, Khalid Ali, John Graham Davies, Jennifer M Stevenson, Winston Banya, Stephen Nyangoma, Rebekah Schiff, Tischa van der Cammen, Jatinder Harchowal, Chakravarthi Rajkumar

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ quality & safety, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 63 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. General practice follow-up after hospital discharge in older adults: retrospective record analysis in UK primary care.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2026
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  8. Disposition at Equipoise: A Qualitative Study of Emergency Physicians' Decision-Making About Hospitalizing People With Dementia.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2026
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  9. Cognitive Interviews With Emergency Physicians to Understand Disposition Decisions With People With Dementia With Borderline Cases.Journal of applied gerontology : the official journal of the Southern Gerontological Society · 2026
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  11. Criteria pharmacists use to refer patients to a post discharge pharmacist review clinic.Exploratory research in clinical and social pharmacy · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Nikesh ParekhAcademic Department of Geriatric Medicine, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, Brighton, UK nikeshparekh@nhs.net.ORCID 0000-0002-9988-3717
Khalid AliAcademic Department of Geriatric Medicine, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, Brighton, UK.
John Graham DaviesInstitute of Pharmaceutical Science, King's College London, London, UK.
Jennifer M StevensonInstitute of Pharmaceutical Science, King's College London, London, UK.
Winston BanyaRoyal Brompton and Harefield NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Stephen NyangomaRoyal Brompton and Harefield NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Rebekah SchiffGuy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Tischa van der CammenFaculty of Industrial Design Engineering, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands.
Jatinder HarchowalRoyal Marsden Hospital NHS Trust, London, UK.
Chakravarthi RajkumarAcademic Department of Geriatric Medicine, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, Brighton, UK.
Brighton and Sussex Medical School · GBKing's College London · GBRoyal Brompton & Harefield NHS Foundation Trust · GBDelft University of Technology · NLGuy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust · GBRoyal Marsden Hospital · GB

Funding

Department of Health PB-PG-0711-25094
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo develop and validate a tool to predict the risk of an older adult experiencing medication-related harm (MRH) requiring healthcare use following hospital discharge. DESIGN, SETTING,

participantsMulticentre, prospective cohort study recruiting older adults (≥65 years) discharged from five UK teaching hospitals between 2013 and 2015. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Participants were followed up for 8 weeks in the community by senior pharmacists to identify MRH (adverse drug reactions, harm from non-adherence, harm from medication error). Three data sources provided MRH and healthcare use information: hospital readmissions, primary care use, participant telephone interview. Candidate variables for prognostic modelling were selected using two systematic reviews, the views of patients with MRH and an expert panel of clinicians. Multivariable logistic regression with backward elimination, based on the Akaike Information Criterion, was used to develop the PRIME tool. The tool was internally validated.

results1116 out of 1280 recruited participants completed follow-up (87%). Uncertain MRH cases ('possible' and 'probable') were excluded, leaving a tool derivation cohort of 818. 119 (15%) participants experienced 'definite' MRH requiring healthcare use and 699 participants did not. Modelling resulted in a prediction tool with eight variables measured at hospital discharge: age, gender, antiplatelet drug, sodium level, antidiabetic drug, past adverse drug reaction, number of medicines, living alone. The tool's discrimination C-statistic was 0.69 (0.66 after validation) and showed good calibration. Decision curve analysis demonstrated the potential value of the tool to guide clinical decision making compared with alternative approaches.

conclusionsThe PRIME tool could be used to identify older patients at high risk of MRH requiring healthcare use following hospital discharge. Prior to clinical use we recommend the tool's evaluation in other settings.

Indexed as

Continuity of Patient CareAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesDrug-Related Side Effects and Adverse ReactionsFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGeriatric AssessmentHospitals, TeachingHumansIncidenceLinear ModelsMaleMedication ErrorsPatient DischargePredictive Value of Testshealthcare usehospital dischargeMedication harmolder adultsrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID31527053
PMCPMC7045783
OpenAlexW2973800482

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.