Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31525184›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2019

Optimizing spatial allocation of seasonal influenza vaccine under temporal constraints.

Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Jiangzhuo Chen, Arindam Fadikar, Sandeep Gupta, Dave Higdon, Bryan Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Henning Mortveit, Anil Vullikanti

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. A decision support system for prioritised COVID-19 two-dosage vaccination allocation and distribution.Transportation research. Part E, Logistics and transportation review · 2022
    Article
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  18. Operational Considerations in Global Health Modeling.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Srinivasan VenkatramananBiocomplexity Institute & Initiative, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-0874-8692
Jiangzhuo ChenBiocomplexity Institute & Initiative, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America.
Arindam FadikarDepartment of Statistics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, Virginia, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-7396-0350
Sandeep GuptaBiocomplexity Institute, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, Virginia, United States of America.
Dave HigdonDepartment of Statistics, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, Virginia, United States of America.
Bryan LewisBiocomplexity Institute & Initiative, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0793-6082
Madhav MaratheBiocomplexity Institute & Initiative, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America.
Henning MortveitBiocomplexity Institute & Initiative, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-3363-2947
Anil VullikantiBiocomplexity Institute & Initiative, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America.

Funding

Synthetic Information Systems for Better Informing Public Health PolicymakersU01GM070694 · NIGMS · VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INST AND ST UNIV · PI EUBANK, STEPHEN G, MARATHE, MADHAV VISHNU · 2004 to 2016
$8.6M
Systems Analysis of Social Pathways of Epidemics to Reduce Health DisparitiesR01GM109718 · NIGMS · VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INST AND ST UNIV · PI MARATHE, ACHLA, VULLIKANTI, ANIL · 2014 to 2022
$3.6M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM109718NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM070694
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prophylactic interventions such as vaccine allocation are some of the most effective public health policy planning tools. The supply of vaccines, however, is limited and an important challenge is to optimally allocate the vaccines to minimize epidemic impact. This resource allocation question (which we refer to as VaccIntDesign) has multiple dimensions: when, where, to whom, etc. Most of the existing literature in this topic deals with the latter (to whom), proposing policies that prioritize individuals by age and disease risk. However, since seasonal influenza spread has a typical spatial trend, and due to the temporal constraints enforced by the availability schedule, the when and where problems become equally, if not more, relevant. In this paper, we study the VaccIntDesign problem in the context of seasonal influenza spread in the United States. We develop a national scale metapopulation model for influenza that integrates both short and long distance human mobility, along with realistic data on vaccine uptake. We also design GreedyAlloc, a greedy algorithm for allocating the vaccine supply at the state level under temporal constraints and show that such a strategy improves over the current baseline of pro-rata allocation, and the improvement is more pronounced for higher vaccine efficacy and moderate flu season intensity. Further, the resulting strategy resembles a ring vaccination applied spatiallyacross the US.

Indexed as

Influenza, HumanSpatio-Temporal AnalysisAlgorithmsComputational BiologyDatabases, FactualHumansInfluenza VaccinesResource AllocationSeasonsTime FactorsTravelUnited StatesInfluenza Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID31525184
PMCPMC6762205

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.