Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31521512›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine2019

A Decline in Propensity Toward Risk Behaviors Among U.S. Adolescents.

Jacob T Borodovsky, Robert F Krueger, Arpana Agrawal, Richard A Grucza

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Sexually Transmitted Infection Testing After Brief Intervention for Risk Behaviors in School-Based Health Centers.The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine · 2022
    Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. U.S. Trends in Adolescent Substance Use and Conduct Problems and Their Relation to Trends in Unstructured In-Person Socializing With Peers.The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine · 2021
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jacob T BorodovskyDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri. Electronic address: jborodovsky@wustl.edu.
Robert F KruegerDepartment of Psychology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Arpana AgrawalDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri.
Richard A GruczaDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, Saint Louis, Missouri.
Washington University in St. Louis · USUniversity of Minnesota · US

Funding

U19 MIDlife in the United States-Diversity Supplement-WellsU19AG051426 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI CAROL D. RYFF · 2016 to 2026
$74.8M
The impact of adverse interpersonal experiences (AIE) on mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and risk for Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) in ethnically diverse twinsR01AG053217 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI Robert F Krueger, Glenn I Roisman · 2016 to 2026
$9.1M
DELINEATING THE ROLE OF GENETIC INFLUENCES ON CANNABIS INVOLVEMENTK02DA032573 · NIDA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI AGRAWAL, ARPANA · 2012 to 2021
$1.1M
SMOKING, SUICIDE AND MENTAL HEALTH: USING POLICY CHANGE TO PROBE CAUSALITYR01DA042195 · NIDA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI GRUCZA, RICHARD A · 2016 to 2018
$676k
AN EXAMINATION OF AGE-RELATED DISPARITIES IN MEDICATION ASSISTED TREATMENT AND ASSOCIATED OUTCOMESR21DA044744 · NIDA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI BIERUT, LAURA J. · 2017 to 2018
$419k
USING TEMPORAL VARIATION IN RISK BEHAVIOR TO UNDERSTAND TRENDS IN ADOLESCENT ALCOHOL MISUSER21AA025689 · NIAAA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI GRUCZA, RICHARD A · 2018 to 2019
$416k
NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA025689NIA NIH HHS R01 AG053217NIA NIH HHS U19 AG051426NIDA NIH HHS K02 DA032573NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA042195NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA044744
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeOver the past two decades, substance use, delinquent behaviors, and promiscuous sexual activity have declined substantially among U.S. adolescents. We aimed to determine the extent to which these trends represent declines in a general propensity to engage in risk behaviors (i.e., declines in a latent factor).

methodsWe used Youth Risk Behavior Survey data (1999-2017) (n = 147,800) and examined trends in substance use (e.g., alcohol), delinquency (e.g., fighting), and sexual activity (e.g., number of partners). We conducted two types of analyses stratified by grade (9th/10th vs. 11th/12th) and sex: (1) estimation of year-specific prevalence of each behavior and modeled prevalence changes over time and (2) factor analysis and application of alignment methods to determine changes in the mean of the latent factor over time while correcting for measurement noninvariance.

resultsA single factor explained 53% (girls 11th/12th grade) to 62% (boys 9th/10th grade) of the variance in risk behaviors. Average relative annual declines in the prevalence of each behavior-except for weapon carrying-ranged from 1% to 6%. The structure of the latent factor was mostly unchanged over time, with notable exceptions related to differential changes in prevalence for cigarette and cannabis use. Between 1999 and 2017, the mean of the latent factor declined by between .54 and .73 standard deviations.

conclusionsResults suggest that much of the decline in the prevalence of substance use, delinquent, and sexual behaviors among American youth from 1999 to 2017 reflect an approximately two-thirds standard deviation decline in the mean of a latent risk behavior factor.

Indexed as

Risk-TakingAdolescentAge FactorsCigarette SmokingFemaleHumansJuvenile DelinquencyMaleMarijuana SmokingSex FactorsSexual BehaviorSexual PartnersSurveys and QuestionnairesUnited StatesAdolescentEpidemiologyJuvenile delinquencyMultivariate modelingRisk behaviorSexual activitySubstance abuse

Identifiers

PMID31521512
PMCPMC6874743
OpenAlexW2972308081

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.