Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31517267›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2019

The potential impact of initiating antiretroviral therapy with integrase inhibitors on HIV transmission risk in British Columbia, Canada.

Jielin Zhu, Ignacio Rozada, Jummy David, David M Moore, Silvia A Guillemi, Rolando Barrios, Julio S G Montaner, Viviane D Lima

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jielin ZhuBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Ignacio Rozada1QB Information Technologies (1QBit), Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Jummy DavidBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
David M MooreBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Silvia A GuillemiBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Rolando BarriosBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Julio S G MontanerBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Viviane D LimaBritish Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
AIDS Vancouver · CA1QBitUniversity of British Columbia · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAvailable agents within the integrase strand-transfer inhibitor (INSTI) class have been shown to lead to a faster decay in viral load than other regimens. Therefore, we estimated the potential reduction in HIV transmission risk among antiretroviral-naïve individuals initiating on INSTI-based antiretroviral therapy (ART), focusing on the gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (gbMSM) population and various degrees of sexual activity.

methodsUsing two mathematical models that estimate the HIV transmission risk corresponding to different viral loads, we estimated the average probability of HIV transmission per risky contact for gbMSM during the six months post-ART initiation, stratified by stage of HIV infection, viral load at ART initiation and type of first-line ART (i.e., INSTI or non-INSTI-based ART). This study focused individuals who initiated ART between 2011 and 2016 with at least one year of follow-up in British Columbia, Canada.

findingsTime to first virologic suppression for INSTI-based regimens was 21.4 days (95% credible interval (CI) 19.9-23.2), compared to 58.6 days (95% CI 54.1-62.2) for non-INSTI regimens. We showed that INSTI-based regimens could reduce the HIV transmission risk by at least 25% among those with viral load ≥ 5 log

interpretationInitiating ART on INSTI-based regimens has the potential to reduce HIV transmission risk among individuals with high baseline viral load levels, especially among those with high levels of sexual activity.

fundingThe British Columbia Ministry of Health, the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, and the Michael Smith Foundation for Health Research.

Indexed as

gbMSMHIVIntegrase inhibitorsMathematical modelingTransmission riskVirologic suppression

Identifiers

PMID31517267
PMCPMC6737210
OpenAlexW2962188566

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.