Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31515399›Full record

ArticleThe European respiratory journal2019

Predictors of severe asthma attack re-attendance in Ecuadorian children: a cohort study.

Cristina Ardura-Garcia, Erick Arias, Paola Hurtado, Laura J Bonnett, Carlos Sandoval, Augusto Maldonado, Lisa J Workman, Thomas A E Platts-Mills, Philip J Cooper, John D Blakey

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The European respiratory journal, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. The use of precision medicine for asthma.Frontiers in medicine · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Prediction of Asthma Exacerbations in Children.Journal of personalized medicine · 2023
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Observational
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Cristina Ardura-GarciaInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland crisardura@gmail.com.
Erick AriasFundación Ecuatoriana Para Investigación en Salud, Quito, Ecuador.
Paola HurtadoFundación Ecuatoriana Para Investigación en Salud, Quito, Ecuador.
Laura J BonnettDept of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6981-9212
Carlos SandovalFundación Ecuatoriana Para Investigación en Salud, Quito, Ecuador.
Augusto MaldonadoColegio de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad San Francsico de Quito, Quito, Ecuador.
Lisa J WorkmanAsthma and Allergic Diseases Center, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Thomas A E Platts-MillsAsthma and Allergic Diseases Center, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Philip J CooperFundación Ecuatoriana Para Investigación en Salud, Quito, Ecuador.
John D BlakeyRespiratory Medicine, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, Australia.

Funding

Department of Health PDF-2015-08-044Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Asthma is a common cause of emergency care attendance in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). While few prospective studies of predictors for emergency care attendance have been undertaken in high-income countries, none have been performed in a LMIC.We followed a cohort of 5-15-year-old children treated for asthma attacks in emergency rooms of public health facilities in Esmeraldas City, Ecuador. We collected blood and nasal wash samples, and performed spirometry and exhaled nitric oxide fraction measurements. We explored potential predictors for recurrence of severe asthma attacks requiring emergency care over 6 months' follow-up.We recruited 283 children of whom 264 (93%) were followed-up for ≥6 months or until their next asthma attack. Almost half (46%) had a subsequent severe asthma attack requiring emergency care. Predictors of recurrence in adjusted analyses were (adjusted OR, 95% CI) younger age (0.87, 0.79-0.96 per year), previous asthma diagnosis (2.2, 1.2-3.9), number of parenteral corticosteroid courses in previous year (1.3, 1.1-1.5), food triggers (2.0, 1.1-3.6) and eczema diagnosis (4.2, 1.02-17.6). A parsimonious Cox regression model included the first three predictors plus urban residence as a protective factor (adjusted hazard ratio 0.69, 95% CI 0.50-0.95). Laboratory and lung function tests did not predict recurrence.Factors independently associated with recurrent emergency attendance for asthma attacks were identified in a low-resource LMIC setting. This study suggests that a simple risk-assessment tool could potentially be created for emergency rooms in similar settings to identify higher-risk children on whom limited resources might be better focused.

Indexed as

AdolescentAsthmaChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesEcuadorEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansMaleRecurrenceRisk AssessmentSeverity of Illness Index

Identifiers

PMID31515399
PMCPMC6860994

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.