Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31509271›Full record

ArticleClinical cardiology2019

Decision tree model for predicting in-hospital cardiac arrest among patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome.

Hong Li, Ting Ting Wu, Dong Liang Yang, Yang Song Guo, Pei Chang Liu, Yuan Chen, Li Ping Xiao

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical cardiology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hong LiDepartment of Nursing, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fujian, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2108-7582
Ting Ting WuDepartment of Nursing, Fujian Health College, Fujian, China.
Dong Liang YangDepartment of General Education Courses, Cangzhou Medical College, Hebei, China.
Yang Song GuoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fujian, China.
Pei Chang LiuDepartment of Anesthesiology, Union Hospital Affiliated to Fujian Medical University, Fujian, China.
Yuan ChenDepartment of Nursing, Xiamen Cardiovascular Disease Hospital, Xiamen, China.
Li Ping XiaoDepartment of Nursing, First Hospital of Longyan, Longyan, China.

Funding

The individual fund for innovation leading talent of Fujian province. Young and Middle-aged Teacher Education Research Project of Fujian province, China 11[2016]The individual fund for innovation leading talent of Fujian province. Young and Middle-aged Teacher Education Research Project of Fujian province, China JZ180552
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) may be preventable, with patients often showing signs of physiological deterioration before an event. Our objective was to develop and validate a simple clinical prediction model to identify the IHCA risk among cardiac arrest (CA) patients hospitalized with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). HYPOTHESIS: A predicting model could help to identify the risk of IHCA among patients admitted with ACS.

methodsWe conducted a case-control study and analyzed 21 337 adult ACS patients, of whom 164 had experienced CA. Vital signs, demographic, and laboratory data were extracted from the electronic health record. Decision tree analysis was applied with 10-fold cross-validation to predict the risk of IHCA.

resultsThe decision tree analysis detected seven explanatory variables, and the variables' importance is as follows: VitalPAC Early Warning Score (ViEWS), fatal arrhythmia, Killip class, cardiac troponin I, blood urea nitrogen, age, and diabetes. The development decision tree model demonstrated a sensitivity of 0.762, a specificity of 0.882, and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.844 (95% CI, 0.805 to 0.849). A 10-fold cross-validated risk estimate was 0.198, while the optimism-corrected AUC was 0.823 (95% CI, 0.786 to 0.860).

conclusionsWe have developed and internally validated a good discrimination decision tree model to predict the risk of IHCA. This simple prediction model may provide healthcare workers with a practical bedside tool and could positively impact decision-making with regard to deteriorating patients with ACS.

Indexed as

Decision MakingDecision TreesAcute Coronary SyndromeAgedChinaFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart ArrestHumansIncidenceMalePrognosisReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentROC Curveacute coronary syndromedecision tree modelin-hospital cardiac arrest

Identifiers

PMID31509271
PMCPMC6837031

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.