Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31504126›Full record

Trial reportAnnals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology2019

Breast Cancer Index and prediction of benefit from extended endocrine therapy in breast cancer patients treated in the Adjuvant Tamoxifen-To Offer More? (aTTom) trial.

J M S Bartlett, D C Sgroi, K Treuner, Y Zhang, I Ahmed, T Piper, R Salunga, E F Brachtel, S J Pirrie, C A Schnabel and 1 more

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Annals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 104 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
104citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00003678 phase3unknown statusnot on this map

A Large, Uniquely Simple, Randomised Study to Assess Much More Reliably the Balance of Benefits and Risks of Prolonging Adjuvant Tamoxifen Treatment in Early Breast Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity Hospital BirminghamRan1991Enrolled20,000ConditionsBreast CancerArmstamoxifen citrate, adjuvant therapy
NCT04875351 active not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

Breast Cancer Index (BCI) Registry

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorBiotheranostics, Inc.Ran2021 to 2028Enrolled3,465ConditionsBreast CancerArmsBreast Cancer Index (BCI) Risk of Recurrence & Extended Endocrine Benefit Test
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

104 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. SEOM-GEICAM-SOLTI clinical guidelines for early-stage breast cancer (UPDATE 2025).Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. SEOM-GEICAM-SOLTI clinical guidelines for early-stage breast cancer (2022).Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2023
    Pooled it
  4. Guideline
  5. Guideline
  6. Pooled it
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. Breast Cancer Index Is a Predictive Biomarker of Treatment Benefit and Outcome from Extended Tamoxifen Therapy: Final Analysis of the Trans-aTTom Study.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2022
    Trial
  12. Trial
  13. Review
  14. Observational
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Article

44 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

J M S BartlettOntario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, Canada; University of Edinburgh Cancer Research Centre, Edinburgh, UK. Electronic address: john.bartlett@oicr.on.ca.
D C SgroiDepartment of Pathology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
K TreunerBiotheranostics Inc., San Diego, USA.
Y ZhangBiotheranostics Inc., San Diego, USA.
I AhmedCancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit (CRCTU), Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
T PiperUniversity of Edinburgh Cancer Research Centre, Edinburgh, UK.
R SalungaBiotheranostics Inc., San Diego, USA.
E F BrachtelDepartment of Pathology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
S J PirrieCancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit (CRCTU), Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
C A SchnabelBiotheranostics Inc., San Diego, USA.
D W ReaCancer Research UK Clinical Trials Unit (CRCTU), Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.

Funding

Cancer Research UK 12125Cancer Research UK 25354
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExtending the duration of adjuvant endocrine therapy reduces the risk of recurrence in a subset of women with early-stage hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer. Validated predictive biomarkers of endocrine response could significantly improve patient selection for extended therapy. Breast cancer index (BCI) [HOXB13/IL17BR ratio (H/I)] was evaluated for its ability to predict benefit from extended endocrine therapy in patients previously randomized in the Adjuvant Tamoxifen-To Offer More? (aTTom) trial. PATIENTS AND

methodsTrans-aTTom is a multi-institutional, prospective-retrospective study in patients with available formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded primary tumor blocks. BCI testing and central determination of estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) status by immunohistochemistry were carried out blinded to clinical outcome. Survival endpoints were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression with recurrence-free interval (RFI) as the primary endpoint. Interaction between extended endocrine therapy and BCI (H/I) was assessed using the likelihood ratio test.

resultsOf 583 HR+, N+ patients analyzed, 49% classified as BCI (H/I)-High derived a significant benefit from 10 versus 5 years of tamoxifen treatment [hazard ratio (HR): 0.35; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.15-0.86; 10.2% absolute risk reduction based on RFI, P = 0.027]. BCI (H/I)-low patients showed no significant benefit from extended endocrine therapy (HR: 1.07; 95% CI 0.69-1.65; -0.2% absolute risk reduction; P = 0.768). Continuous BCI (H/I) levels predicted the magnitude of benefit from extended tamoxifen, whereas centralized ER and PR did not. Interaction between extended tamoxifen treatment and BCI (H/I) was statistically significant (P = 0.012), adjusting for clinicopathological factors.

conclusionBCI by high H/I expression was predictive of endocrine response and identified a subset of HR+, N+ patients with significant benefit from 10 versus 5 years of tamoxifen therapy. These data provide further validation, consistent with previous MA.17 data, establishing level 1B evidence for BCI as a predictive biomarker of benefit from extended endocrine therapy.

trial registrationISRCTN17222211; NCT00003678.

Indexed as

AgedAntineoplastic Agents, HormonalBiomarkers, TumorBreastBreast NeoplasmsChemotherapy, AdjuvantDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleHomeodomain ProteinsHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMastectomyMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisProspective StudiesAntineoplastic Agents, HormonalBiomarkers, TumorHomeodomain ProteinsHOXB13 protein, humanIL17RB protein, humanReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, Interleukin-17Receptors, ProgesteroneTamoxifenBCIearly-stage breast cancerendocrine benefitmolecular signaturepredictive biomarker

Identifiers

PMID31504126
PMCPMC6927322

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.