Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31503283›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2020

Long-Term Outcomes and Cost-Effectiveness of Breast Cancer Screening With Digital Breast Tomosynthesis in the United States.

Kathryn P Lowry, Amy Trentham-Dietz, Clyde B Schechter, Oguzhan Alagoz, William E Barlow, Elizabeth S Burnside, Emily F Conant, John M Hampton, Hui Huang, Karla Kerlikowske and 6 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
6.8field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 69 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 12 institutions in 2 countries.

Kathryn P LowryDepartment of Radiology, University of Washington, Seattle Cancer Care Alliance, Seattle, WA.
Amy Trentham-DietzCarbone Cancer Center and Department of Population Health Sciences.
Clyde B SchechterUniversity of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; Department of Family and Social Medicine, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY.
Oguzhan AlagozCarbone Cancer Center and Department of Population Health Sciences.
William E BarlowCancer Research and Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Elizabeth S BurnsideDepartment of Radiology.
Emily F ConantDepartment of Radiology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA.
John M HamptonCarbone Cancer Center and Department of Population Health Sciences.
Hui HuangDepartment of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA.
Karla KerlikowskeDepartments of Medicine and Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, CA.
Sandra J LeeDepartment of Biostatistics and Computational Biology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Diana L MigliorettiDivision of Biostatistics, Department of Public Health Sciences, University of California Davis, Davis, CA.
Brian L SpragueDepartments of Surgery and Radiology, University of Vermont Cancer Center, University of Vermont Larner College of Medicine, Burlington, VT.
Anna N A TostesonThe Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice and Norris Cotton Cancer Center, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, NH.
Martin J YaffeDepartments of Medical Biophysics and Medical Imaging, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Natasha K StoutDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, MA.
University of Wisconsin Carbone Cancer Center · USHarvard University · USAlbert Einstein College of Medicine · USDana-Farber Cancer Institute · USDartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice · USKaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute · USSeattle Cancer Care Alliance · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Pennsylvania · USUniversity of Toronto · CAUniversity of Vermont · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

UW COMPREHENSIVE CANCER CENTER SUPPORTP30CA014520 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI AMY TRENTHAM-DIETZ · 1985 to 2026
$142.6M
University of Wisconsin Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR002373 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI ELIZABETH S BURNSIDE, Allan R. Brasier · 2017 to 2026
$75.9M
Risk-based Imaging Strategies to Improve Breast Cancer Surveillance OutcomesP01CA154292 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI Diana L Miglioretti · 2011 to 2026
$52.9M
Comparative Modeling of Precision Breast Cancer Control Across the Translational Continuum - SupplementU01CA253911 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI ALAGOZ, OGUZHAN, DE KONING, HARRY J · 2020 to 2025
$10.6M
Comparative Modeling: Informing Breast Cancer Control Practice and PolicyU01CA199218 · NCI · GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY · PI BERRY, DONALD A, DE KONING, HARRY J · 2015 to 2019
$9.0M
Vermont Screening Process Documentation UnitU54CA163303 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI SPRAGUE, BRIAN L · 2011 to 2017
$6.4M
Promoting personalized decisions for breast cancer screening for women AND theirU54CA163307 · NCI · DARTMOUTH COLLEGE · PI HAAS, JENNIFER S, ONEGA, TRACY · 2011 to 2017
$6.1M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002373NCI NIH HHS HHSN261201100031CNCI NIH HHS P01 CA154292NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014520NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199218NCI NIH HHS U01 CA253911NCI NIH HHS U54 CA163303NCI NIH HHS U54 CA163307
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDigital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) is increasingly being used for routine breast cancer screening. We projected the long-term impact and cost-effectiveness of DBT compared to conventional digital mammography (DM) for breast cancer screening in the United States.

methodsThree Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network breast cancer models simulated US women ages 40 years and older undergoing breast cancer screening with either DBT or DM starting in 2011 and continuing for the lifetime of the cohort. Screening performance estimates were based on observational data; in an alternative scenario, we assumed 4% higher sensitivity for DBT. Analyses used federal payer perspective; costs and utilities were discounted at 3% annually. Outcomes included breast cancer deaths, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), false-positive examinations, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs).

resultsCompared to DM, DBT screening resulted in a slight reduction in breast cancer deaths (range across models 0-0.21 per 1000 women), small increase in QALYs (1.97-3.27 per 1000 women), and a 24-28% reduction in false-positive exams (237-268 per 1000 women) relative to DM. ICERs ranged from $195 026 to $270 135 per QALY for DBT relative to DM. When assuming 4% higher DBT sensitivity, ICERs decreased to $130 533-$156 624 per QALY. ICERs were sensitive to DBT costs, decreasing to $78 731 to $168 883 and $52 918 to $118 048 when the additional cost of DBT was reduced to $36 and $26 (from baseline of $56), respectively.

conclusionDBT reduces false-positive exams while achieving similar or slightly improved health benefits. At current reimbursement rates, the additional costs of DBT screening are likely high relative to the benefits gained; however, DBT could be cost-effective at lower screening costs.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBreast NeoplasmsCost-Benefit AnalysisDiagnostic ImagingEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPrognosisUnited States

Identifiers

PMID31503283
PMCPMC7301096
OpenAlexW2972979332

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.