Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31501506›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2019

Spatio-temporal climate change contributes to latitudinal diversity gradients.

Erin E Saupe, Corinne E Myers, A Townsend Peterson, Jorge Soberón, Joy Singarayer, Paul Valdes, Huijie Qiao

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Macroecological pluralism.npj biodiversity · 2026
    Review
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  8. Dynamic interplay between niche variation and flight adaptability drove a hundred million years' dispersion in iconic lacewings.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
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  17. Neuron synchronization analyzed through spatial-temporal attention.Frontiers in computational neuroscience · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Dispersal-diversity feedbacks and their consequences for macroecological patterns.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Erin E SaupeDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. erin.saupe@earth.ox.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0370-9897
Corinne E MyersUniversity of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, USA.
A Townsend PetersonBiodiversity Institute, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA.
Jorge SoberónBiodiversity Institute, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2160-4148
Joy SingarayerDepartment of Meteorology and Centre for Past Climate Change, University of Reading, Reading, UK.
Paul ValdesSchool of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Huijie QiaoInstitute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China. qiaohj@ioz.ac.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5345-6234

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The latitudinal diversity gradient (LDG), where the number of species increases from the poles to the Equator, ranks among the broadest and most notable biodiversity patterns on Earth. The pattern of species-rich tropics relative to species-poor temperate areas has been recognized for well over a century, but the generative mechanisms are still debated vigorously. We use simulations to test whether spatio-temporal climatic changes could generate large-scale patterns of biodiversity as a function of only three biological processes-speciation, extinction and dispersal-omitting adaptive niche evolution, diversity-dependence and coexistence limits. In our simulations, speciation resulted from range disjunctions, whereas extinction occurred when no suitable sites were accessible to species. Simulations generated clear LDGs that closely match empirical LDGs for three major vertebrate groups. Higher tropical diversity primarily resulted from higher low-latitude speciation, driven by spatio-temporal variation in precipitation rather than in temperature. This suggests that spatio-temporal changes in low-latitude precipitation prompted geographical range disjunctions over Earth's history, leading to high rates of allopatric speciation that contributed to LDGs. Overall, we show that major global biodiversity patterns can derive from interactions of species' niches (fixed a priori in our simulations) with dynamic climate across complex, existing landscapes, without invoking biotic interactions or niche-related adaptations.

Indexed as

BiodiversityClimate ChangeGeography

Identifiers

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.