Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31497300›Full record

ArticleMovement ecology2019

Integrating the influence of weather into mechanistic models of butterfly movement.

Luke C Evans, Richard M Sibly, Pernille Thorbek, Ian Sims, Tom H Oliver, Richard J Walters

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Movement ecology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Journal of insect conservation · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Luke C Evans1School of Biological Sciences, University of Reading, Whiteknights, PO Box 217, Berkshire, Reading RG6 6AH UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8649-0589
Richard M Sibly1School of Biological Sciences, University of Reading, Whiteknights, PO Box 217, Berkshire, Reading RG6 6AH UK.
Pernille Thorbek2Syngenta, Jealott's Hill International Research Centre, Bracknell, Berkshire, RG42 6EY UK.
Ian Sims2Syngenta, Jealott's Hill International Research Centre, Bracknell, Berkshire, RG42 6EY UK.
Tom H Oliver1School of Biological Sciences, University of Reading, Whiteknights, PO Box 217, Berkshire, Reading RG6 6AH UK.
Richard J Walters1School of Biological Sciences, University of Reading, Whiteknights, PO Box 217, Berkshire, Reading RG6 6AH UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUnderstanding the factors influencing movement is essential to forecasting species persistence in a changing environment. Movement is often studied using mechanistic models, extrapolating short-term observations of individuals to longer-term predictions, but the role of weather variables such as air temperature and solar radiation, key determinants of ectotherm activity, are generally neglected. We aim to show how the effects of weather can be incorporated into individual-based models of butterfly movement thus allowing analysis of their effects.

methodsWe constructed a mechanistic movement model and calibrated it with high precision movement data on a widely studied species of butterfly, the meadow brown (

resultsFlight speed was unaffected by weather, time between successive flights increased as solar radiation decreased, and flight duration showed a unimodal response to air temperature that peaked between approximately 23 °C and 26 °C. After validation, the model demonstrated that weather alone can produce a more than two-fold difference in predicted weekly displacement.

conclusionsIndividual Based models provide a useful framework for integrating the effect of weather into movement models. By including weather effects we are able to explain a two-fold difference in movement rate of

Indexed as

Body temperatureClimate warmingLepidopteraMotivationThermoregulation

Identifiers

PMID31497300
PMCPMC6717957

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.