Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31493204›Full record

ArticleTheory in biosciences = Theorie in den Biowissenschaften2020

A deterministic time-delayed SIR epidemic model: mathematical modeling and analysis.

Abhishek Kumar, Kanica Goel, Nilam

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Article in Theory in biosciences = Theorie in den Biowissenschaften, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Risk assessment and analysis of Traditional Chinese Medicine intervention in coronavirus disease.Journal of traditional Chinese medicine = Chung i tsa chih ying wen pan · 2022
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Abhishek KumarDepartment of Applied Mathematics, Delhi Technological University, Delhi, 110042, India.
Kanica GoelDepartment of Applied Mathematics, Delhi Technological University, Delhi, 110042, India.
NilamDepartment of Applied Mathematics, Delhi Technological University, Delhi, 110042, India. rathi.nilam@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this paper, a deterministic model for transmission of an epidemic has been proposed by dividing the total population into three subclasses, namely susceptible, infectious and recovered. The incidence rate of infection is taken as a nonlinear functional along with time delay, and treatment rate of infected is considered as Holling type III functional. We have structured a deterministic transmission model of the epidemic taking into account the factors that affect the epidemic transmission such as social and natural factors, inhibitory effects and numerous control measures. The delayed model has been analyzed mathematically for two equilibria, namely disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium. It is found that DFE is locally and globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is less than unity. It has also been shown that the delayed system for DFE at [Formula: see text] is linearly neutrally stable. The existence of an endemic equilibrium has been shown and found that under some conditions, endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable, and is globally asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text]. Further, the endemic equilibrium exhibits Hopf bifurcation under some conditions. Finally, an undelayed system has been analyzed, and it is shown that at [Formula: see text], DFE exhibits a forward bifurcation.

Indexed as

Basic Reproduction NumberCommunicable Disease ControlEpidemicsAlgorithmsCommunicable DiseasesComputer SimulationHumansIncidenceLinear ModelsTime FactorsBifurcationDelay SIR modelEpidemicHolling type III treatment rateNonlinear incidence rateStability

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.